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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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China Calls for Dialogue Amid Market Turmoil Following US Tariffs

China has responded to the recent market upheaval caused by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs, stating that "the market has spoken" in rejecting the trade measures. The tariffs, which include a 34% levy on Chinese goods, have escalated tensions between the world's two largest economies. In retaliation, China imposed similar tariffs on U.S. goods and introduced export restrictions on rare earth materials.

The global stock markets reacted sharply, with significant losses marking the biggest downturn since the pandemic. The S&P 500, for instance, dropped by 9% over the week. Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun emphasized the need for "equal-footed consultation" to resolve trade differences and urged the U.S. to reconsider its approach.

Chinese commerce associations have also called for unity in exploring alternative markets, warning that the tariffs could exacerbate inflation in the U.S. and increase the likelihood of a recession. The trade dispute continues to unfold, with both sides showing no immediate signs of backing down.

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