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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...

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China Stands Firm Amid Escalating Trade Tensions with the U.S.

In a bold move, Chinese President Xi Jinping declared that China is "not afraid" of external pressures as Beijing raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125%. This escalation marks a significant chapter in the ongoing trade war between the world's two largest economies. Xi emphasized China's resilience, stating that the nation has thrived on self-reliance and hard work for over 70 years, and it will not bow to what he described as "unjust suppression".

The tariff hike comes as a response to the U.S.'s recent increase in levies on Chinese imports, which now stand at a staggering 145%. Both nations have engaged in a tit-for-tat exchange of economic measures, fueling fears of a global recession and unsettling international markets. Despite the tensions, Xi expressed confidence in China's ability to navigate these challenges, focusing on strengthening ties with other global partners.

This development underscores the deepening rift between the two economic powerhouses, with no clear resolution in sight. The world watches closely as the trade war continues to reshape global economic dynamics.

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