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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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China Stands Firm Amid Escalating Trade Tensions with the U.S.

In a bold move, Chinese President Xi Jinping declared that China is "not afraid" of external pressures as Beijing raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125%. This escalation marks a significant chapter in the ongoing trade war between the world's two largest economies. Xi emphasized China's resilience, stating that the nation has thrived on self-reliance and hard work for over 70 years, and it will not bow to what he described as "unjust suppression".

The tariff hike comes as a response to the U.S.'s recent increase in levies on Chinese imports, which now stand at a staggering 145%. Both nations have engaged in a tit-for-tat exchange of economic measures, fueling fears of a global recession and unsettling international markets. Despite the tensions, Xi expressed confidence in China's ability to navigate these challenges, focusing on strengthening ties with other global partners.

This development underscores the deepening rift between the two economic powerhouses, with no clear resolution in sight. The world watches closely as the trade war continues to reshape global economic dynamics.

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