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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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China Stands Firm Amid Escalating Trade Tensions with the U.S.

In a bold move, Chinese President Xi Jinping declared that China is "not afraid" of external pressures as Beijing raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125%. This escalation marks a significant chapter in the ongoing trade war between the world's two largest economies. Xi emphasized China's resilience, stating that the nation has thrived on self-reliance and hard work for over 70 years, and it will not bow to what he described as "unjust suppression".

The tariff hike comes as a response to the U.S.'s recent increase in levies on Chinese imports, which now stand at a staggering 145%. Both nations have engaged in a tit-for-tat exchange of economic measures, fueling fears of a global recession and unsettling international markets. Despite the tensions, Xi expressed confidence in China's ability to navigate these challenges, focusing on strengthening ties with other global partners.

This development underscores the deepening rift between the two economic powerhouses, with no clear resolution in sight. The world watches closely as the trade war continues to reshape global economic dynamics.

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