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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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China's Defiance: A Trade War Escalates


China has vowed to "fight to the end" in response to former President Donald Trump's latest tariff threats, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing trade war between the world's two largest economies. Trump's proposed additional 50% tariff on Chinese imports has been met with strong resistance from Beijing, which has labeled the move as "unilateral bullying" and a "mistake on top of a mistake".

The Chinese Ministry of Commerce has emphasized its commitment to safeguarding the nation's sovereignty and economic interests, hinting at further countermeasures. Meanwhile, the U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods could reach a staggering 104% if implemented, raising concerns about global economic stability.

As tensions rise, stock markets worldwide have shown increased volatility, reflecting fears of a prolonged trade war. Both nations appear steadfast in their positions, with China signaling its readiness to retaliate and Trump warning of the termination of all talks with Beijing. The outcome of this confrontation remains uncertain, but its implications for international trade and economic growth are profound.

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