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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Cross-Border Tax Shake-Up: What It Means for Canadian Investors

A proposed Republican tax change in the United States could significantly impact Canadians who hold U.S.-listed securities. This measure, introduced as a response to what the U.S. perceives as "discriminatory taxes" by foreign nations, including Canada's digital services tax, aims to increase the tax burden on foreign investors. If passed, Canadian investors may face a sudden spike in the taxes owed on their U.S. investments, potentially altering the financial landscape for cross-border portfolios. 

This development underscores the interconnected nature of global financial policies and the importance of staying informed about international tax changes. For Canadian investors, it might be time to reassess strategies and consult financial advisors to navigate these potential shifts.

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