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5 Things to Know Today: Inflation Data, a Tariff Countdown, and a Big Energy Deal

  August 17, 2026 Inflation data lands this morning, the clock on the U.S. tariff deadline is down to two days, and a long-running provincial energy dispute is about to be settled. Here's what's moving your money today. 1. Today's Inflation Report Could Set the Tone for September Statistics Canada releases July's Consumer Price Index this morning. Economists are expecting the annual rate to tick up to roughly 2.9%, from 2.8% in June, mainly because gasoline prices swung higher again in July after the Middle East conflict pushed oil prices back up. Core inflation measures, which the Bank of Canada watches most closely, aren't expected to move much. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print would make it less likely the Bank of Canada cuts rates at its September 2 meeting, which matters if you're renewing a variable-rate mortgage or carrying a line of credit. A softer number keeps a cut on the table. 2. The Tariff Deadline Is Two Days Away, and Talks Are...

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El Salvador Stands Firm on U.S. Deportation Error

 

El Salvador has refused to return Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Maryland resident mistakenly deported by the United States. President Nayib Bukele made the announcement during a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House, dismissing the idea of sending Garcia back as "preposterous". 

The U.S. Supreme Court recently ruled that the Trump administration must facilitate Garcia’s return, acknowledging that his deportation was an administrative error. However, Bukele has insisted that his government will not comply, citing concerns over Garcia’s alleged gang affiliation—an accusation his lawyers strongly deny. 

The case has sparked debate over U.S. immigration policies and international cooperation. While the U.S. government has admitted the mistake, officials argue that they cannot force El Salvador to release Garcia. Meanwhile, human rights advocates continue to push for his return, emphasizing the lack of credible evidence linking him to criminal activity. 

This diplomatic standoff highlights the complexities of immigration enforcement and the challenges of rectifying wrongful deportations. Whether Garcia will be allowed to return to the U.S. remains uncertain as legal and political tensions escalate.

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