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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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El Salvador Stands Firm on U.S. Deportation Error

 

El Salvador has refused to return Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Maryland resident mistakenly deported by the United States. President Nayib Bukele made the announcement during a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House, dismissing the idea of sending Garcia back as "preposterous". 

The U.S. Supreme Court recently ruled that the Trump administration must facilitate Garcia’s return, acknowledging that his deportation was an administrative error. However, Bukele has insisted that his government will not comply, citing concerns over Garcia’s alleged gang affiliation—an accusation his lawyers strongly deny. 

The case has sparked debate over U.S. immigration policies and international cooperation. While the U.S. government has admitted the mistake, officials argue that they cannot force El Salvador to release Garcia. Meanwhile, human rights advocates continue to push for his return, emphasizing the lack of credible evidence linking him to criminal activity. 

This diplomatic standoff highlights the complexities of immigration enforcement and the challenges of rectifying wrongful deportations. Whether Garcia will be allowed to return to the U.S. remains uncertain as legal and political tensions escalate.

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