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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....

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EU Prepares for Potential Trade Retaliation Against US Tariffs

The European Union has announced its readiness to counteract U.S. tariffs with a robust plan, should the need arise. Speaking to the European Parliament, Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, emphasized the EU's preference for a negotiated solution but affirmed its preparedness to protect its interests, citizens, and businesses if necessary.

The U.S. administration, under President Donald Trump, has recently imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, with additional duties on cars expected soon. Von der Leyen criticized these measures, highlighting their potential to fuel inflation and increase costs for American industries. She also underscored the importance of diversifying trade and removing internal barriers within the EU's single market to strengthen its economic resilience.

While the EU remains open to dialogue, von der Leyen assured lawmakers that all necessary instruments are on the table to respond decisively if required. The bloc's strategy reflects its commitment to safeguarding its economic stability and maintaining a balanced global trade environment.

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