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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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EU Prepares for Potential Trade Retaliation Against US Tariffs

The European Union has announced its readiness to counteract U.S. tariffs with a robust plan, should the need arise. Speaking to the European Parliament, Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, emphasized the EU's preference for a negotiated solution but affirmed its preparedness to protect its interests, citizens, and businesses if necessary.

The U.S. administration, under President Donald Trump, has recently imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, with additional duties on cars expected soon. Von der Leyen criticized these measures, highlighting their potential to fuel inflation and increase costs for American industries. She also underscored the importance of diversifying trade and removing internal barriers within the EU's single market to strengthen its economic resilience.

While the EU remains open to dialogue, von der Leyen assured lawmakers that all necessary instruments are on the table to respond decisively if required. The bloc's strategy reflects its commitment to safeguarding its economic stability and maintaining a balanced global trade environment.

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