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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Green Party Excluded from Federal Election Debates

The Leaders' Debates Commission has made the controversial decision to exclude the Green Party of Canada from participating in the upcoming federal election debates. This decision stems from the party's failure to meet the commission's participation criteria, which include running candidates in at least 90% of federal ridings. The Green Party's strategic choice to reduce the number of candidates in certain ridings was cited as a key factor in their disqualification.

The commission emphasized that this move was necessary to maintain the integrity of the debates and ensure they remain informative for voters. However, the decision has sparked debate about the inclusivity of the process and the representation of diverse political voices in Canada.

This exclusion raises questions about the balance between logistical criteria and democratic representation. The Green Party's absence from the debates could significantly impact their visibility and influence in the upcoming election.

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