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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Green Party Excluded from Federal Election Debates

The Leaders' Debates Commission has made the controversial decision to exclude the Green Party of Canada from participating in the upcoming federal election debates. This decision stems from the party's failure to meet the commission's participation criteria, which include running candidates in at least 90% of federal ridings. The Green Party's strategic choice to reduce the number of candidates in certain ridings was cited as a key factor in their disqualification.

The commission emphasized that this move was necessary to maintain the integrity of the debates and ensure they remain informative for voters. However, the decision has sparked debate about the inclusivity of the process and the representation of diverse political voices in Canada.

This exclusion raises questions about the balance between logistical criteria and democratic representation. The Green Party's absence from the debates could significantly impact their visibility and influence in the upcoming election.

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