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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Green Party Excluded from Federal Election Debates

The Leaders' Debates Commission has made the controversial decision to exclude the Green Party of Canada from participating in the upcoming federal election debates. This decision stems from the party's failure to meet the commission's participation criteria, which include running candidates in at least 90% of federal ridings. The Green Party's strategic choice to reduce the number of candidates in certain ridings was cited as a key factor in their disqualification.

The commission emphasized that this move was necessary to maintain the integrity of the debates and ensure they remain informative for voters. However, the decision has sparked debate about the inclusivity of the process and the representation of diverse political voices in Canada.

This exclusion raises questions about the balance between logistical criteria and democratic representation. The Green Party's absence from the debates could significantly impact their visibility and influence in the upcoming election.

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