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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Green Party Excluded from Federal Election Debates

The Leaders' Debates Commission has made the controversial decision to exclude the Green Party of Canada from participating in the upcoming federal election debates. This decision stems from the party's failure to meet the commission's participation criteria, which include running candidates in at least 90% of federal ridings. The Green Party's strategic choice to reduce the number of candidates in certain ridings was cited as a key factor in their disqualification.

The commission emphasized that this move was necessary to maintain the integrity of the debates and ensure they remain informative for voters. However, the decision has sparked debate about the inclusivity of the process and the representation of diverse political voices in Canada.

This exclusion raises questions about the balance between logistical criteria and democratic representation. The Green Party's absence from the debates could significantly impact their visibility and influence in the upcoming election.

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