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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Honda Reaffirms Commitment to Canadian Auto Production Amid Tariff Concerns


Honda Canada has firmly denied reports suggesting it plans to shift car production from Ontario to the United States. The speculation arose from a Japanese news outlet's claim that Honda was considering relocating some of its manufacturing operations due to recent U.S. auto tariffs. However, Ontario Premier Doug Ford and federal officials have dismissed these claims as inaccurate.

Honda Canada has assured that its Alliston, Ontario facility will continue to operate at full capacity, with no changes being considered at this time. The company remains committed to its Canadian operations, emphasizing that nearly 70% of Honda vehicles sold in Canada are manufactured domestically. Additionally, Honda is actively working on its North American electric vehicle strategy, which includes a $15 billion investment in Ontario to develop a full EV supply chain.

Despite ongoing tariff challenges, Honda has reiterated its confidence in the Canadian market and its ability to navigate evolving trade conditions effectively. The company’s stance provides reassurance to Ontario’s auto industry, which plays a crucial role in Canada’s economy.


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