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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Honda Reaffirms Commitment to Canadian Auto Production Amid Tariff Concerns


Honda Canada has firmly denied reports suggesting it plans to shift car production from Ontario to the United States. The speculation arose from a Japanese news outlet's claim that Honda was considering relocating some of its manufacturing operations due to recent U.S. auto tariffs. However, Ontario Premier Doug Ford and federal officials have dismissed these claims as inaccurate.

Honda Canada has assured that its Alliston, Ontario facility will continue to operate at full capacity, with no changes being considered at this time. The company remains committed to its Canadian operations, emphasizing that nearly 70% of Honda vehicles sold in Canada are manufactured domestically. Additionally, Honda is actively working on its North American electric vehicle strategy, which includes a $15 billion investment in Ontario to develop a full EV supply chain.

Despite ongoing tariff challenges, Honda has reiterated its confidence in the Canadian market and its ability to navigate evolving trade conditions effectively. The company’s stance provides reassurance to Ontario’s auto industry, which plays a crucial role in Canada’s economy.


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