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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Honda Reaffirms Commitment to Canadian Auto Production Amid Tariff Concerns


Honda Canada has firmly denied reports suggesting it plans to shift car production from Ontario to the United States. The speculation arose from a Japanese news outlet's claim that Honda was considering relocating some of its manufacturing operations due to recent U.S. auto tariffs. However, Ontario Premier Doug Ford and federal officials have dismissed these claims as inaccurate.

Honda Canada has assured that its Alliston, Ontario facility will continue to operate at full capacity, with no changes being considered at this time. The company remains committed to its Canadian operations, emphasizing that nearly 70% of Honda vehicles sold in Canada are manufactured domestically. Additionally, Honda is actively working on its North American electric vehicle strategy, which includes a $15 billion investment in Ontario to develop a full EV supply chain.

Despite ongoing tariff challenges, Honda has reiterated its confidence in the Canadian market and its ability to navigate evolving trade conditions effectively. The company’s stance provides reassurance to Ontario’s auto industry, which plays a crucial role in Canada’s economy.


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