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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Honda Reaffirms Commitment to Canadian Auto Production Amid Tariff Concerns


Honda Canada has firmly denied reports suggesting it plans to shift car production from Ontario to the United States. The speculation arose from a Japanese news outlet's claim that Honda was considering relocating some of its manufacturing operations due to recent U.S. auto tariffs. However, Ontario Premier Doug Ford and federal officials have dismissed these claims as inaccurate.

Honda Canada has assured that its Alliston, Ontario facility will continue to operate at full capacity, with no changes being considered at this time. The company remains committed to its Canadian operations, emphasizing that nearly 70% of Honda vehicles sold in Canada are manufactured domestically. Additionally, Honda is actively working on its North American electric vehicle strategy, which includes a $15 billion investment in Ontario to develop a full EV supply chain.

Despite ongoing tariff challenges, Honda has reiterated its confidence in the Canadian market and its ability to navigate evolving trade conditions effectively. The company’s stance provides reassurance to Ontario’s auto industry, which plays a crucial role in Canada’s economy.


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