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U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio

  Canadian Money Brief | Feature U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio By MoneySavings.ca | Published November 1, 2026 Americans vote Tuesday in elections that will fill all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Canadians don't get a ballot, but we do get the consequences: a loonie that swung from an 18-month low to a six-week high in about two weeks, a tariff fight that has put 50% duties on roughly US$20 billion of our exports, and a lot of U.S. stock sitting inside our TFSAs and RRSPs. Here is how to think about all of it without trying to guess the winner. The short version: Nobody can reliably trade an election result. Forecasters lean toward Democrats winning the House, with the Senate closer. But history says the bigger market moves tend to come in the months after the vote, not on election night. For Canadians, the useful steps are practical: convert U.S. dollars in pieces, know how much U.S. stock you hold, and don't...

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Liberals Secure Fourth Mandate Amid Political Shifts

The Liberal Party of Canada has achieved a historic fourth consecutive mandate, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. This victory marks a significant rebound for the party, which faced challenges following the resignation of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau earlier this year. 

While the final count of seats remains uncertain, early projections suggest the Liberals may form a minority government, requiring collaboration with other parties to pass legislation. Carney, who won his Ottawa-area riding, emphasized unity and inclusivity in his victory speech, promising to govern for all Canadians. 

The election saw a dramatic collapse in support for the New Democratic Party, with leader Jagmeet Singh announcing his resignation after losing his seat. Meanwhile, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre vowed to hold the Liberal government accountable, despite trailing in his own riding. 

This election unfolded against the backdrop of economic tensions with the United States, housing affordability concerns, and climate policy debates. Canadians now await the final seat count to determine the shape of their next government.

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