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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Liberals Secure Fourth Mandate Amid Political Shifts

The Liberal Party of Canada has achieved a historic fourth consecutive mandate, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. This victory marks a significant rebound for the party, which faced challenges following the resignation of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau earlier this year. 

While the final count of seats remains uncertain, early projections suggest the Liberals may form a minority government, requiring collaboration with other parties to pass legislation. Carney, who won his Ottawa-area riding, emphasized unity and inclusivity in his victory speech, promising to govern for all Canadians. 

The election saw a dramatic collapse in support for the New Democratic Party, with leader Jagmeet Singh announcing his resignation after losing his seat. Meanwhile, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre vowed to hold the Liberal government accountable, despite trailing in his own riding. 

This election unfolded against the backdrop of economic tensions with the United States, housing affordability concerns, and climate policy debates. Canadians now await the final seat count to determine the shape of their next government.

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