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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Liberals Secure Fourth Mandate Amid Political Shifts

The Liberal Party of Canada has achieved a historic fourth consecutive mandate, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. This victory marks a significant rebound for the party, which faced challenges following the resignation of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau earlier this year. 

While the final count of seats remains uncertain, early projections suggest the Liberals may form a minority government, requiring collaboration with other parties to pass legislation. Carney, who won his Ottawa-area riding, emphasized unity and inclusivity in his victory speech, promising to govern for all Canadians. 

The election saw a dramatic collapse in support for the New Democratic Party, with leader Jagmeet Singh announcing his resignation after losing his seat. Meanwhile, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre vowed to hold the Liberal government accountable, despite trailing in his own riding. 

This election unfolded against the backdrop of economic tensions with the United States, housing affordability concerns, and climate policy debates. Canadians now await the final seat count to determine the shape of their next government.

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