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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Liberals Secure Fourth Mandate Amid Political Shifts

The Liberal Party of Canada has achieved a historic fourth consecutive mandate, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. This victory marks a significant rebound for the party, which faced challenges following the resignation of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau earlier this year. 

While the final count of seats remains uncertain, early projections suggest the Liberals may form a minority government, requiring collaboration with other parties to pass legislation. Carney, who won his Ottawa-area riding, emphasized unity and inclusivity in his victory speech, promising to govern for all Canadians. 

The election saw a dramatic collapse in support for the New Democratic Party, with leader Jagmeet Singh announcing his resignation after losing his seat. Meanwhile, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre vowed to hold the Liberal government accountable, despite trailing in his own riding. 

This election unfolded against the backdrop of economic tensions with the United States, housing affordability concerns, and climate policy debates. Canadians now await the final seat count to determine the shape of their next government.

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