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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Market Optimism: Stocks Surge Amid Earnings and Trade Hopes

 

Global stock markets experienced a significant rebound today, fueled by a combination of strong corporate earnings reports and renewed optimism over easing trade tensions. Major indices, including the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, posted gains exceeding 2%, signaling a wave of investor confidence.

The rally was bolstered by better-than-expected earnings from key players such as 3M and Netflix, which outperformed market expectations. Additionally, remarks from U.S. Treasury officials hinting at potential de-escalation in trade disputes with China further lifted market sentiment. This development comes as a relief to investors who have been navigating weeks of volatility driven by tariff uncertainties and geopolitical concerns.

While the market's recovery is a positive sign, analysts caution that the road ahead remains uncertain. Factors such as ongoing trade negotiations, Federal Reserve policies, and global economic forecasts will continue to influence market dynamics in the coming weeks.

This resurgence highlights the resilience of the financial markets and the pivotal role of corporate performance and international diplomacy in shaping investor confidence.

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