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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Market Optimism: Stocks Surge Amid Earnings and Trade Hopes

 

Global stock markets experienced a significant rebound today, fueled by a combination of strong corporate earnings reports and renewed optimism over easing trade tensions. Major indices, including the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, posted gains exceeding 2%, signaling a wave of investor confidence.

The rally was bolstered by better-than-expected earnings from key players such as 3M and Netflix, which outperformed market expectations. Additionally, remarks from U.S. Treasury officials hinting at potential de-escalation in trade disputes with China further lifted market sentiment. This development comes as a relief to investors who have been navigating weeks of volatility driven by tariff uncertainties and geopolitical concerns.

While the market's recovery is a positive sign, analysts caution that the road ahead remains uncertain. Factors such as ongoing trade negotiations, Federal Reserve policies, and global economic forecasts will continue to influence market dynamics in the coming weeks.

This resurgence highlights the resilience of the financial markets and the pivotal role of corporate performance and international diplomacy in shaping investor confidence.

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