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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Market Rebound: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise After Sharp Sell-Off

After a turbulent trading session, U.S. stock futures are showing signs of recovery on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite futures all climbed, attempting to regain ground lost during Monday’s sharp decline.

The market downturn was largely driven by renewed tensions between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump’s criticism of Powell’s monetary policy decisions added uncertainty to investor sentiment, leading to a widespread sell-off. However, futures rebounded as investors assessed the broader economic outlook and upcoming corporate earnings reports.

Tesla’s earnings report, scheduled for later today, is expected to be a key focus for investors. The electric vehicle giant has faced challenges with declining sales and shifting consumer demand, making its financial results particularly significant. Additionally, Verizon shares dropped in premarket trading after reporting a larger-than-expected loss in wireless subscribers, reflecting the impact of recent price hikes and competitive pressures.

Despite the volatility, analysts suggest that the market’s resilience could signal optimism among investors. As economic data continues to roll in, traders will be watching closely for signs of stability in the coming days.


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