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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Markets Plunge Amid Escalating Tariff Concerns

Global markets faced a sharp downturn as the Trump administration's tariff policies sent shockwaves through the financial world. The Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) closed with a staggering loss of over 1,100 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted by 2,200 points. This dramatic decline reflects growing investor anxiety over the economic implications of escalating trade tensions.

The uncertainty surrounding the tariffs has left businesses and consumers alike on edge. Analysts warn that these measures could exacerbate inflationary pressures and disrupt global supply chains, further straining an already fragile economic recovery. As markets brace for potential retaliatory actions from trading partners, the road ahead remains uncertain.

This market turbulence underscores the interconnected nature of the global economy and the far-reaching consequences of policy decisions. Investors and policymakers alike will be closely watching for developments in the coming days.

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