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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Pierre Poilievre Faces Defeat in Ottawa-Area Riding Amid Federal Election Shake-Up

 

In a surprising turn of events during Canada's 2025 federal election, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his long-held seat in the Carleton riding. With two polls yet to report, Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy has taken the lead, marking a significant shift in the political landscape.

Poilievre, who has represented the Ottawa-area riding since 2004, faced a strong challenge from Fanjoy, whose campaign emphasized affordable housing and cost-of-living solutions. This defeat comes as a personal blow to Poilievre, who had previously secured the riding with a comfortable margin in past elections.

The broader election results indicate a Liberal victory nationwide, with Mark Carney poised to lead the government. While the Conservatives have made gains in other areas, Poilievre's loss underscores the unpredictable nature of this election.


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