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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...
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Pierre Poilievre Faces Defeat in Ottawa-Area Riding Amid Federal Election Shake-Up

 

In a surprising turn of events during Canada's 2025 federal election, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his long-held seat in the Carleton riding. With two polls yet to report, Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy has taken the lead, marking a significant shift in the political landscape.

Poilievre, who has represented the Ottawa-area riding since 2004, faced a strong challenge from Fanjoy, whose campaign emphasized affordable housing and cost-of-living solutions. This defeat comes as a personal blow to Poilievre, who had previously secured the riding with a comfortable margin in past elections.

The broader election results indicate a Liberal victory nationwide, with Mark Carney poised to lead the government. While the Conservatives have made gains in other areas, Poilievre's loss underscores the unpredictable nature of this election.


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