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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Pierre Poilievre Faces Defeat in Ottawa-Area Riding Amid Federal Election Shake-Up

 

In a surprising turn of events during Canada's 2025 federal election, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his long-held seat in the Carleton riding. With two polls yet to report, Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy has taken the lead, marking a significant shift in the political landscape.

Poilievre, who has represented the Ottawa-area riding since 2004, faced a strong challenge from Fanjoy, whose campaign emphasized affordable housing and cost-of-living solutions. This defeat comes as a personal blow to Poilievre, who had previously secured the riding with a comfortable margin in past elections.

The broader election results indicate a Liberal victory nationwide, with Mark Carney poised to lead the government. While the Conservatives have made gains in other areas, Poilievre's loss underscores the unpredictable nature of this election.


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