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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Pierre Poilievre Faces Defeat in Ottawa-Area Riding Amid Federal Election Shake-Up

 

In a surprising turn of events during Canada's 2025 federal election, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his long-held seat in the Carleton riding. With two polls yet to report, Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy has taken the lead, marking a significant shift in the political landscape.

Poilievre, who has represented the Ottawa-area riding since 2004, faced a strong challenge from Fanjoy, whose campaign emphasized affordable housing and cost-of-living solutions. This defeat comes as a personal blow to Poilievre, who had previously secured the riding with a comfortable margin in past elections.

The broader election results indicate a Liberal victory nationwide, with Mark Carney poised to lead the government. While the Conservatives have made gains in other areas, Poilievre's loss underscores the unpredictable nature of this election.


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