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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Trade Tensions Ignite Challenges for the US Dollar


The US dollar, long perceived as a symbol of strength in the global economy, is finding itself in turbulent waters. Former President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which aimed to reshape international trade dynamics, have inadvertently set off a series of economic ripples. These tariffs, targeting imports from key trading partners, sparked retaliatory measures, creating uncertainty in global markets.

The trade disputes have influenced the value of the US dollar by altering currency flows and investor confidence. While some industries saw temporary benefits from protectionist measures, others faced rising costs and disrupted supply chains, adding pressure on the domestic economy. The international response to these policies has also reshaped alliances and market relationships, further affecting the dollar's global standing.

As countries navigate this complex economic environment, the stability of the US dollar remains a central concern, highlighting the intricate link between trade policies and currency dynamics. The ongoing trade turmoil serves as a reminder of the delicate balance required in global economic strategy.



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