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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trade Tensions Ignite Challenges for the US Dollar


The US dollar, long perceived as a symbol of strength in the global economy, is finding itself in turbulent waters. Former President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which aimed to reshape international trade dynamics, have inadvertently set off a series of economic ripples. These tariffs, targeting imports from key trading partners, sparked retaliatory measures, creating uncertainty in global markets.

The trade disputes have influenced the value of the US dollar by altering currency flows and investor confidence. While some industries saw temporary benefits from protectionist measures, others faced rising costs and disrupted supply chains, adding pressure on the domestic economy. The international response to these policies has also reshaped alliances and market relationships, further affecting the dollar's global standing.

As countries navigate this complex economic environment, the stability of the US dollar remains a central concern, highlighting the intricate link between trade policies and currency dynamics. The ongoing trade turmoil serves as a reminder of the delicate balance required in global economic strategy.



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