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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trade Tensions Ignite Challenges for the US Dollar


The US dollar, long perceived as a symbol of strength in the global economy, is finding itself in turbulent waters. Former President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which aimed to reshape international trade dynamics, have inadvertently set off a series of economic ripples. These tariffs, targeting imports from key trading partners, sparked retaliatory measures, creating uncertainty in global markets.

The trade disputes have influenced the value of the US dollar by altering currency flows and investor confidence. While some industries saw temporary benefits from protectionist measures, others faced rising costs and disrupted supply chains, adding pressure on the domestic economy. The international response to these policies has also reshaped alliances and market relationships, further affecting the dollar's global standing.

As countries navigate this complex economic environment, the stability of the US dollar remains a central concern, highlighting the intricate link between trade policies and currency dynamics. The ongoing trade turmoil serves as a reminder of the delicate balance required in global economic strategy.



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