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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trade Tensions Surge as China Hits Back with 84% Tariffs on U.S. Goods

In a dramatic escalation of the ongoing trade war, China has announced an 84% tariff on U.S. goods, effective April 10. This move comes in response to the U.S. imposing a sweeping 104% tariff on Chinese exports. The tit-for-tat measures have sent shockwaves through global markets, with analysts warning of potential economic fallout for both nations.

China's Ministry of Finance criticized the U.S. tariffs as a "mistake on top of a mistake," vowing to defend its economic interests. Meanwhile, U.S. officials expressed regret over China's retaliatory actions but maintained that the tariffs were necessary to address trade imbalances.

The escalating tariffs are expected to disrupt global trade flows, with industries on both sides bracing for impact. Economists predict that the prolonged trade war could dampen economic growth and strain international relations further.

The world watches as the two largest economies continue their high-stakes standoff, with no resolution in sight.

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