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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trade Tensions Surge as China Hits Back with 84% Tariffs on U.S. Goods

In a dramatic escalation of the ongoing trade war, China has announced an 84% tariff on U.S. goods, effective April 10. This move comes in response to the U.S. imposing a sweeping 104% tariff on Chinese exports. The tit-for-tat measures have sent shockwaves through global markets, with analysts warning of potential economic fallout for both nations.

China's Ministry of Finance criticized the U.S. tariffs as a "mistake on top of a mistake," vowing to defend its economic interests. Meanwhile, U.S. officials expressed regret over China's retaliatory actions but maintained that the tariffs were necessary to address trade imbalances.

The escalating tariffs are expected to disrupt global trade flows, with industries on both sides bracing for impact. Economists predict that the prolonged trade war could dampen economic growth and strain international relations further.

The world watches as the two largest economies continue their high-stakes standoff, with no resolution in sight.

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