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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Tragedy at Toronto Pearson Airport: Police-Involved Shooting Leaves One Dead

A man has died following a police-involved shooting at Toronto Pearson International Airport's Terminal 1. Peel Regional Police responded to reports of a "man in distress" early Thursday morning. According to the Special Investigations Unit (SIU), the man produced a firearm during the encounter, prompting three officers to discharge their weapons. The 30-year-old man was transported to the hospital, where he was pronounced dead. No officers were injured in the incident.

The shooting caused significant disruptions at the airport, with passengers rerouted and delays reported. Authorities have assured the public that this was an isolated incident and there are no ongoing threats to safety. The SIU is investigating the circumstances surrounding the shooting, as is standard procedure in cases involving police conduct.

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