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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Trump's Semiconductor Tariff Plans Leave Tech Industry on Edge


In a move that has sent ripples through the tech industry, former U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans to introduce tariffs on imported semiconductors. Speaking aboard Air Force One, Trump hinted at flexibility for certain companies but emphasized the need to bolster domestic production of chips and electronics. This announcement follows a series of tariff exemptions for consumer electronics, which had briefly raised hopes within the tech sector.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick clarified that while some products like smartphones and laptops are temporarily exempt, they will likely face separate tariffs in the coming months. This back-and-forth has created significant uncertainty, with industry leaders expressing concerns over potential disruptions to global supply chains and increased costs for consumers.

The semiconductor tariffs are part of a broader strategy to reshape the electronics supply chain and encourage domestic manufacturing. However, the tech industry remains wary, as these measures could lead to retaliatory actions from trade partners and further volatility in the market. 

The coming weeks will reveal the full scope of these tariffs and their impact on the global tech landscape.

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