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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump's Tariff Gamble: Boom or Bust?

In a bold move, former President Donald Trump has predicted that his sweeping global tariffs will lead to an economic boom for the United States. The tariffs, which impose significant taxes on imports from various countries, are aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing and creating jobs. Trump has emphasized that these measures will "bring back manufacturing jobs" and "restore America's economic glory."

However, the immediate reaction from global markets tells a different story. Financial markets worldwide have experienced sharp declines, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropping significantly. Economists warn that the tariffs could lead to higher inflation and slower economic growth, potentially offsetting any benefits from increased domestic production.

While Trump remains optimistic about the long-term impact of his policies, critics argue that the tariffs could strain international relations and disrupt global supply chains. The coming months will reveal whether Trump's vision of economic prosperity will materialize or if the tariffs will trigger a recession instead.

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