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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Trump's Tariff Gamble: Boom or Bust?

In a bold move, former President Donald Trump has predicted that his sweeping global tariffs will lead to an economic boom for the United States. The tariffs, which impose significant taxes on imports from various countries, are aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing and creating jobs. Trump has emphasized that these measures will "bring back manufacturing jobs" and "restore America's economic glory."

However, the immediate reaction from global markets tells a different story. Financial markets worldwide have experienced sharp declines, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropping significantly. Economists warn that the tariffs could lead to higher inflation and slower economic growth, potentially offsetting any benefits from increased domestic production.

While Trump remains optimistic about the long-term impact of his policies, critics argue that the tariffs could strain international relations and disrupt global supply chains. The coming months will reveal whether Trump's vision of economic prosperity will materialize or if the tariffs will trigger a recession instead.

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