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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Trump's Tariff Gamble: Boom or Bust?

In a bold move, former President Donald Trump has predicted that his sweeping global tariffs will lead to an economic boom for the United States. The tariffs, which impose significant taxes on imports from various countries, are aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing and creating jobs. Trump has emphasized that these measures will "bring back manufacturing jobs" and "restore America's economic glory."

However, the immediate reaction from global markets tells a different story. Financial markets worldwide have experienced sharp declines, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropping significantly. Economists warn that the tariffs could lead to higher inflation and slower economic growth, potentially offsetting any benefits from increased domestic production.

While Trump remains optimistic about the long-term impact of his policies, critics argue that the tariffs could strain international relations and disrupt global supply chains. The coming months will reveal whether Trump's vision of economic prosperity will materialize or if the tariffs will trigger a recession instead.

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