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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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U.S. State Department Embarks on Sweeping Reorganization

 

The U.S. State Department has announced a significant restructuring initiative aimed at streamlining operations and aligning with the administration's "America First" mandate. Secretary of State Marco Rubio revealed plans to reduce domestic staff by 15% and consolidate over 100 bureaus worldwide. This reorganization will see the number of offices reduced from 734 to 602, with 137 offices relocated to enhance efficiency.

The overhaul is part of a broader effort to modernize U.S. foreign policy and optimize resource allocation. While the changes are expected to empower diplomats and improve operational effectiveness, concerns have been raised about potential impacts on critical areas such as diversity, inclusion, and humanitarian efforts.

The reorganization reflects the administration's commitment to reducing bureaucracy and fostering innovation within the department. As the State Department navigates these changes, the focus remains on maintaining its relevance and efficacy in addressing global challenges.







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