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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Cardinals Enter Seclusion for Papal Conclave Amid Historic Anticipation

In a solemn and time-honored tradition, cardinals from around the world have entered seclusion ahead of the highly anticipated conclave to elect the next pope. Taking place within the Vatican's historic Sistine Chapel, the gathering marks a pivotal moment for the Roman Catholic Church as it seeks new leadership following the resignation of Pope Francis.

The secretive nature of the conclave is designed to ensure a prayerful and undistracted environment, allowing cardinals to carefully deliberate on the future of the Church. All forms of external communication are strictly prohibited, reinforcing the gravity and sanctity of the process.

As speculation swirls regarding possible successors, Catholics and observers around the globe await the famous white smoke that will signal the election of a new pontiff. Until then, the world watches as history unfolds within the sacred walls of the Vatican.



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