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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Carney and Trump: A Critical Trade Discussion Amid Optimis

 

As former Bank of England governor Mark Carney prepares to meet with former U.S. President Donald Trump to discuss trade relations, experts are cautiously optimistic about potential progress. While previous U.S.-Canada trade negotiations have had their challenges, Carney’s extensive economic expertise and diplomatic approach may open new doors.  

Economists suggest that a renewed focus on balanced trade policies could benefit both nations, particularly in sectors like energy, technology, and manufacturing. Whether Carney can successfully navigate Trump’s unpredictable approach to deal-making remains to be seen. However, early indications suggest the conversation could bring some much-needed clarity to North American trade relations.  



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