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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Carney and Trump: A Critical Trade Discussion Amid Optimis

 

As former Bank of England governor Mark Carney prepares to meet with former U.S. President Donald Trump to discuss trade relations, experts are cautiously optimistic about potential progress. While previous U.S.-Canada trade negotiations have had their challenges, Carney’s extensive economic expertise and diplomatic approach may open new doors.  

Economists suggest that a renewed focus on balanced trade policies could benefit both nations, particularly in sectors like energy, technology, and manufacturing. Whether Carney can successfully navigate Trump’s unpredictable approach to deal-making remains to be seen. However, early indications suggest the conversation could bring some much-needed clarity to North American trade relations.  



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