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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Carney and Trump: A Critical Trade Discussion Amid Optimis

 

As former Bank of England governor Mark Carney prepares to meet with former U.S. President Donald Trump to discuss trade relations, experts are cautiously optimistic about potential progress. While previous U.S.-Canada trade negotiations have had their challenges, Carney’s extensive economic expertise and diplomatic approach may open new doors.  

Economists suggest that a renewed focus on balanced trade policies could benefit both nations, particularly in sectors like energy, technology, and manufacturing. Whether Carney can successfully navigate Trump’s unpredictable approach to deal-making remains to be seen. However, early indications suggest the conversation could bring some much-needed clarity to North American trade relations.  



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