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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Drone Strike Sparks Emergency in Russian Port City

The Russian port city of Novorossiysk has declared a state of emergency following a Ukrainian drone attack that damaged residential buildings and injured at least five people, including two children. Mayor Andrei Kravchenko announced the decision on his official Telegram account, sharing images of the destruction and directing officials to respond to the crisis.

One of the injured, a woman, remains in serious condition at a local hospital. The attack also affected a grain terminal, with debris from falling drones causing damage to storage units and sparking a fire, which has since been extinguished. Authorities are assessing the full extent of the damage and providing assistance to those affected.

Ukraine has yet to comment on the incident, though its air force reported that Russia launched 183 drones and two ballistic missiles overnight. The ongoing conflict continues to escalate, with both sides engaging in aerial strikes.

This latest attack underscores the growing intensity of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, raising concerns about civilian safety and infrastructure stability in the region.

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