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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Drone Strike Sparks Emergency in Russian Port City

The Russian port city of Novorossiysk has declared a state of emergency following a Ukrainian drone attack that damaged residential buildings and injured at least five people, including two children. Mayor Andrei Kravchenko announced the decision on his official Telegram account, sharing images of the destruction and directing officials to respond to the crisis.

One of the injured, a woman, remains in serious condition at a local hospital. The attack also affected a grain terminal, with debris from falling drones causing damage to storage units and sparking a fire, which has since been extinguished. Authorities are assessing the full extent of the damage and providing assistance to those affected.

Ukraine has yet to comment on the incident, though its air force reported that Russia launched 183 drones and two ballistic missiles overnight. The ongoing conflict continues to escalate, with both sides engaging in aerial strikes.

This latest attack underscores the growing intensity of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, raising concerns about civilian safety and infrastructure stability in the region.

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