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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Ford Pushes for Highway 401 Tunnel in Letter to Carney

 

Ontario Premier Doug Ford has formally requested federal support for a proposed tunnel under Highway 401, a project he describes as nation-building and essential for economic growth. In a letter sent to Prime Minister Mark Carney, Ford outlined several priority projects, including critical mineral access, electric vehicle supply chain development, and bail reforms. However, the most ambitious proposal is the tunnel, which Ford argues would significantly reduce congestion on North America's busiest highway.

The Ford government is currently seeking proposals for a feasibility study to explore various options, including an elevated highway and truck-only lanes. Despite skepticism from opposition leaders, Ford remains committed to the tunnel project, emphasizing its long-term benefits for Ontario's infrastructure and economy.

Critics, including NDP Leader Marit Stiles and Liberal Leader Bonnie Crombie, have dismissed the tunnel as unrealistic and financially burdensome. Stiles called it a "fantasy tunnel," while Crombie warned that its cost could bankrupt the province. Nevertheless, Ford has pledged to move forward with the project, regardless of feasibility study outcomes.

The federal government's response to Ford's request remains uncertain, but the proposal has already sparked significant debate about Ontario's infrastructure priorities and the future of transportation in the province.

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