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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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Market Optimism: U.S. Futures Rise Amid Trade Talks and Jobs Data Anticipation

U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Friday as investors welcomed signs of easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Hopes of a potential resolution to the ongoing tariff disputes helped offset concerns over disappointing earnings reports from major companies like Apple and Amazon.

The market is also closely watching the upcoming jobs report, which is expected to provide further insight into the health of the U.S. labor market. Analysts anticipate that nonfarm payrolls will show a moderate increase, reflecting the broader economic trends.

Despite recent volatility, investor sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, with major indexes showing signs of recovery. The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq futures all posted gains in premarket trading, signaling a potentially positive start to the trading day.

As global markets react to shifting trade policies and economic indicators, traders remain focused on key developments that could shape the financial landscape in the coming weeks.

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