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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Market Watch: U.S. Stock Futures Hold Steady Amid Trade Talks

U.S. stock index futures remained subdued on Friday following a strong rally in the previous session. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming trade discussions between U.S. and Chinese representatives in Switzerland, which could shape market sentiment heading into next week.

The recent rally was fueled by a new trade agreement between the United States and Britain, sparking optimism that similar deals could ease global trade tensions. However, analysts caution that the limited scope of the agreement raises questions about its broader impact.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged heightened risks of inflation and unemployment, leaving markets in a wait-and-watch mode. At 5:36 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 48 points (0.12%), while S&P 500 E-minis and Nasdaq 100 E-minis showed slight gains.

Investors will also be keeping an eye on corporate earnings, with notable movements in stocks such as Trade Desk, Pinterest, and Expedia in premarket trading. The outcome of the U.S.-China talks could set the tone for next week's market direction.


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