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U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio

  Canadian Money Brief | Feature U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio By MoneySavings.ca | Published November 1, 2026 Americans vote Tuesday in elections that will fill all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Canadians don't get a ballot, but we do get the consequences: a loonie that swung from an 18-month low to a six-week high in about two weeks, a tariff fight that has put 50% duties on roughly US$20 billion of our exports, and a lot of U.S. stock sitting inside our TFSAs and RRSPs. Here is how to think about all of it without trying to guess the winner. The short version: Nobody can reliably trade an election result. Forecasters lean toward Democrats winning the House, with the Senate closer. But history says the bigger market moves tend to come in the months after the vote, not on election night. For Canadians, the useful steps are practical: convert U.S. dollars in pieces, know how much U.S. stock you hold, and don't...
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Market Watch: U.S. Stock Futures Hold Steady Amid Trade Talks

U.S. stock index futures remained subdued on Friday following a strong rally in the previous session. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming trade discussions between U.S. and Chinese representatives in Switzerland, which could shape market sentiment heading into next week.

The recent rally was fueled by a new trade agreement between the United States and Britain, sparking optimism that similar deals could ease global trade tensions. However, analysts caution that the limited scope of the agreement raises questions about its broader impact.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged heightened risks of inflation and unemployment, leaving markets in a wait-and-watch mode. At 5:36 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 48 points (0.12%), while S&P 500 E-minis and Nasdaq 100 E-minis showed slight gains.

Investors will also be keeping an eye on corporate earnings, with notable movements in stocks such as Trade Desk, Pinterest, and Expedia in premarket trading. The outcome of the U.S.-China talks could set the tone for next week's market direction.


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