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Gas Prices Are Finally Falling in Canada — Here's How Much You're Saving and What Comes Next

After weeks of painful price spikes driven by the U.S.-Iran conflict, Canadians are finally catching a break at the pump. The national average gas price dropped to 169.1 cents per litre on Monday, April 20 — down from a peak near 198 cents — as two things happened at once: Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and Prime Minister Mark Carney's federal fuel excise tax suspension came into effect. National Average 169.1¢/L ▼ Down from ~198¢/L peak Gas savings (excise tax) 10¢/L off gasoline until Sept. 7 Diesel savings 4¢/L off diesel until Sept. 7 WTI Crude (current) ~$87 ▼ Down from $120 peak What just happened — and why Since the U.S.-Iran conflict began in late February, Brent crude surged more than 55%, briefly topping $120 a barrel — the largest oil supply shock in the history of global markets, according to the Interna...

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Canada's Economy: Canadian dollar drops to six-day low amid U.S. inflation fears

                                                


The Canadian dollar fell to its lowest level in six days on Wednesday, as investors were rattled by higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data that raised the prospect of tighter monetary policy south of the border.

The loonie traded at 79.32 U.S. cents, down 0.6% from Tuesday's close, after touching a low of 79.25 earlier in the session.

The U.S. consumer price index jumped 0.9% in June from May, the largest monthly increase since June 2008, and rose 5.4% on a year-over-year basis, the highest annual rate since August 2008.

The data fueled fears that the U.S. Federal Reserve may have to start tapering its bond-buying program and raising interest rates sooner than expected, which could boost the U.S. dollar and weigh on riskier currencies like the loonie.

"The market is clearly concerned that the Fed is behind the curve and will have to act more aggressively than previously anticipated," said Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management.

He added that the loonie was also pressured by a decline in oil prices, as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) agreed to increase output from August, easing supply concerns.

Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell 2.3% to $74.76 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped 2.8% to $73.13.

Cieszynski said the loonie could find some support from the Bank of Canada's policy decision on Wednesday, which is expected to maintain its current pace of bond purchases and keep its benchmark interest rate at 0.25%.

"The Bank of Canada has been more hawkish than the Fed, so that could provide some relief for the loonie," he said.

However, he noted that the bank may also express some caution about the outlook for the Canadian economy, given the recent surge in COVID-19 cases and the uncertainty over the reopening plans of some provinces.


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