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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Rising Tensions: Reports Hint at Possible U.S. Move Toward Iran

In this frame grab from footage circulating on social media from Iran, protesters once again take to the streets of Tehran despite an intensifying crackdown as the Islamic Republic remains cut off from the rest of the world in Tehran, Iran, January 10, 2026.

Regional tensions have intensified as Israeli officials place the country on heightened alert amid growing speculation that the United States may be preparing to take action involving Iran. The shift comes at a moment when Iran is facing widespread domestic unrest, with demonstrations erupting across major cities and drawing international attention.

Washington has issued increasingly sharp warnings to Iran’s leadership about the use of force against protesters, emphasizing that the U.S. is monitoring the situation closely. While American officials have not confirmed any operational plans, the possibility of U.S. involvement is being taken seriously by regional governments.

The heightened alert follows a period of volatility marked by earlier clashes between Israel and Iran and previous U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear infrastructure. Recent high‑level conversations between American and Israeli officials have added to speculation, though the details of those discussions remain private.

Analysts caution that even limited U.S. involvement could significantly alter the strategic landscape in the Middle East. For now, governments across the region are preparing for a range of potential developments as the situation continues to evolve.


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