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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Stock Market Today : October 3, 2023


 The Canadian stock market continued its downward trend today. As represented by the S&P/TSX Composite Index, closed at 19,020.92 on October 3, 2023, down by 0.81% from the previous day’s close. The S&P/TSX 60 Index also fell by 0.83% to close at 1,141.80. The S&P/TSX Venture Composite index decreased by 1.68% to close at 536.26. The top gainers on the TSX were Cameco Corporation, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, and Barrick Gold Corporation, while the top losers were Baytex Energy Corp., Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp., and Enbridge Inc. 

In the US, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed at 35,258.32, up by 0.10% from the previous day’s close . The S&P 500 index closed at 4,543.76, up by 0.15% from the previous day’s close. The NASDAQ Composite index closed at 15,235.89, up by 0.31% from the previous day’s close. The top gainers on the DJIA were Boeing Co., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and JPMorgan Chase & Co., while the top losers were Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp., and Visa Inc. .

The reason the markets were down today, is due to the fact  that the 10-year Treasury yield climbed again on October 3, 2023, up to 4.80% from 4.69% late Monday and from just 0.50% early in the pandemic. This increase in yield came after a report showed U.S. employers have many more job openings than expected. Another reason is that there is ongoing debt ceiling drama that is slowly eroding confidence in the country. However, it is important to note that there could be other factors contributing to this decline as well.



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