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Canada’s Inflation Rebounds to 2.4% in December After Tax Holiday Effect Fades

Food prices were expected to rise on a year-over-year basis because December 2024 restaurant prices had been lowered by the temporary GST holiday that ended in early 2025.  Canada’s annual inflation rate accelerated to 2.4% in December , coming in hotter than economists expected and marking a noticeable uptick from November’s 2.2%. The increase was driven largely by a “base‑year effect” tied to last year’s temporary federal GST/HST holiday, which had artificially lowered prices during the same period a year earlier. With those discounts no longer part of the comparison, categories such as restaurant meals, alcohol, and children’s goods appeared more expensive on a year‑over‑year basis, pushing the headline inflation figure higher. Despite the jump, underlying price pressures continued to ease. Key core inflation measures — which strip out volatile items — cooled for the third straight month, suggesting that broader inflation momentum is still slowing. Month‑to‑month, consumer pr...
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US stocks hope for economic stability after record highs

 


The US stock market has been on a roll this year, with the S&P 500 index up by 17% and hovering around 6% below its record high from January 2022. The market’s performance in the coming weeks will depend on how confident investors are that the US economy will experience a soft landing..

A soft landing is a scenario where the economy slows down moderately without going into a recession . Morgan Stanley Research believes that the US economy can achieve a soft landing, given the current housing cycle, income and spending trends, a stable labor market, and receding inflation. However, banking-sector turmoil and a resulting credit squeeze still pose some recession risk.

The recent stock market rally has Wall Street re-examining the potential for the US economy to pull off a soft landing scenario. Goldman Sachs expects the economy to react positively to the Fed’s monetary policy in 2024.

It’s worth noting that the stock market is not always a reliable indicator of the economy’s health. Therefore, investors should be cautious and not celebrate too soon.



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