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Weekly Market Snapshot: TSX Hits Record High, Then Retreats as Fed Shocks Markets

  Week of June 16–20, 2026  |  Published June 20, 2026 It was a week of records and reversals for Canadian investors. The TSX touched an all-time high midweek before a hawkish surprise from the U.S. Federal Reserve and falling oil prices — triggered by the U.S.–Iran interim peace deal — pulled markets lower into Thursday's close. Here's everything that moved the needle for your portfolio and wallet this week. 📊 Weekly Market Scorecard Index / Asset Level (June 19 Close) Week Change S&P/TSX Composite 34,857 ▼ Mixed (high: 35,629 Wed.) S&P 500 (USD) 7,500.58 ▲ +1.08% (Wed.) Dow Jones (USD) 51,564.70 ▲ +0.14% (Wed.) Nasdaq (USD) 26,517.93 ▲ +1.91% (Wed.) WTI Crude Oil (USD/barrel) ~$76.54 ▼ Sharp weekly decline Gold (USD/oz) ~$4,157 ▼ Fell on hawkish Fed CAD/USD (Loonie) ~$0.7068 ▼ Under pressure Note: U.S. markets were closed Friday, June 20, for the Juneteenth National Independence Day holiday. TSX figures reflect Thursday's close. 🇨🇦 TSX: A Record High That Did...

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US stocks hope for economic stability after record highs

 


The US stock market has been on a roll this year, with the S&P 500 index up by 17% and hovering around 6% below its record high from January 2022. The market’s performance in the coming weeks will depend on how confident investors are that the US economy will experience a soft landing..

A soft landing is a scenario where the economy slows down moderately without going into a recession . Morgan Stanley Research believes that the US economy can achieve a soft landing, given the current housing cycle, income and spending trends, a stable labor market, and receding inflation. However, banking-sector turmoil and a resulting credit squeeze still pose some recession risk.

The recent stock market rally has Wall Street re-examining the potential for the US economy to pull off a soft landing scenario. Goldman Sachs expects the economy to react positively to the Fed’s monetary policy in 2024.

It’s worth noting that the stock market is not always a reliable indicator of the economy’s health. Therefore, investors should be cautious and not celebrate too soon.



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