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Mortgage Renewal Shock 2026: What Canadian Homeowners Need to Know

  The Reality: Over 60% of Canadian mortgages are renewing in 2025 and 2026—many at rates significantly higher than their original terms. While some homeowners will see relief, others face payment increases of 15–40%. This guide will help you understand what's happening, run the numbers, and explore your options before your renewal date arrives. The Big Picture: What's Happening in 2026 Canada is experiencing a historic wave of mortgage renewals. A large cohort of mortgages originated during the pandemic's historic low-rate period—when rates hovered around 2% or lower in 2020–2021—are now maturing and resetting at today's rates. The Bank of Canada staff estimate that roughly 60% of outstanding mortgages will renew in 2025 and 2026, making this the most significant renewal cycle in decades. In 2026, the average mortgage renewal increase is projected to moderate to around 6%, though individual experiences vary dramatically depending on mortgage type and renewal timing. W...
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US stocks hope for economic stability after record highs

 


The US stock market has been on a roll this year, with the S&P 500 index up by 17% and hovering around 6% below its record high from January 2022. The market’s performance in the coming weeks will depend on how confident investors are that the US economy will experience a soft landing..

A soft landing is a scenario where the economy slows down moderately without going into a recession . Morgan Stanley Research believes that the US economy can achieve a soft landing, given the current housing cycle, income and spending trends, a stable labor market, and receding inflation. However, banking-sector turmoil and a resulting credit squeeze still pose some recession risk.

The recent stock market rally has Wall Street re-examining the potential for the US economy to pull off a soft landing scenario. Goldman Sachs expects the economy to react positively to the Fed’s monetary policy in 2024.

It’s worth noting that the stock market is not always a reliable indicator of the economy’s health. Therefore, investors should be cautious and not celebrate too soon.



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