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Ottawa's Parliament Hill, where the Carney government is rolling out Canada's largest fiscal stimulus package since 1980. / Photo: Unsplash. MoneySavings.ca  ·  Economy & Policy Monday, April 13, 2026  ·  Daily Edition Canada at a crossroads: oil shock, frozen rates, and a trade deal on the clock Canada's economy is navigating a uniquely complicated moment in 2026. A Middle East conflict has sent oil prices surging past US$104 a barrel, a once-in-a-generation fiscal stimulus package is being rolled out in Ottawa, and the clock is ticking on a renegotiation of Canada's most important trade agreement. For everyday Canadians, this means uncertainty at the gas pump, a central bank with limited room to cut rates, and a federal government betting big on public spending to kick-start growth. Here is what you need to know about the forces shaping the Canadian economy right now. 1. The Bank of Canada is stuck — and oil is why The Bank of Canada has held it...
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Bank of Canada Diverges from Fed, Signals No Rate Cuts Soon

 

The Bank of Canada has made it clear that interest rates will not be coming down anytime soon, putting it on a divergent path from the U.S. Federal Reserve, which said this week that easing could be on the timetable. 

Inflation slowed to 3.1% in October, down from a peak of more than 8% last year, but it has remained above the bank’s 2% target for 31 months. Governor Tiff Macklem said that the bank has not started discussing rate cuts yet, as it’s too early to have that discussion.

The bank is still discussing whether it has raised interest rates enough and how long they need to stay where they are.


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