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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX Composite Index Reaches Highest Weekly Close in 21 Months

 

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended up 71.82 points, or 0.3%, at 20,990.22, its highest weekly closing level since April 2022. 

The market is being driven higher by technicals, which are very bullish right now, according to Brandon Michael, senior investment analyst at ABC Funds. The Toronto market has posted a series of higher peaks and troughs since October, notching a gain of nearly 12% over that period. The technology sector added to its recent rally on Friday, rising 0.7%. Energy rose 0.6% as oil settled 0.9% higher at $72.68 a barrel following overnight air and sea strikes by the U.S. and Britain on Houthi targets in Yemen. The materials sector, which includes precious and base metals miners and fertilizer companies, was up 1.6% as the price of gold benefited from safe-haven buying and the prospect of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. 

The title of this article could be “Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX Composite Index Reaches Highest Weekly Close in 21 Months”.

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