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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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US Futures Rise After Strong February Jobs Report

 


In a positive turn of events, US stock futures remained steady after the release of the February jobs report. The report revealed that the US economy added 275,000 jobs, surpassing Wall Street expectations once again. However, there was a slight increase in the unemployment rate, ticking up to 3.9%, marking its first rise in four months.

Key Takeaways:

  • Job Growth: The economy demonstrated robust job growth, reflecting resilience despite recent challenges.
  • Federal Reserve Implications: The slowdown in job additions could prompt the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate cuts as a preventive measure against rising unemployment.
  • Investor Sentiment: Investors are closely monitoring the data, anticipating the Fed’s response and its impact on the markets.

Market Outlook:

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100: Futures for these indices edged up shortly after 5 a.m. ET, signaling a positive start to the trading day.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Despite some initial weakness, the Dow was poised to shed about 40 points.
  • London’s FTSE 100: The blue-chip index experienced a 0.4% decline in morning trading.
  • Chipmakers: AI darling Nvidia continued its winning streak, rising 3% in premarket trading in New York.

Investors will closely watch the non-farm payrolls report, which tracks the number of jobs added last month. Economists predict a slowdown from 353,000 to 200,000 jobs, potentially influencing the Fed’s decision on interest rates2. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for more data and a sustained cooling of inflation before any rate adjustments.

As the markets open, all eyes are on the employment data, shaping the trajectory of financial decisions in the coming days. Stay tuned for further updates!


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