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CMHC Just Cut Its Housing Forecast — What It Means If You're Buying, Selling, or Renewing

  Published July 28, 2026 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation quietly downgraded its outlook for the rest of 2026 last week, and the new numbers are worth a look no matter which side of the housing market you're standing on. The federal housing agency's Summer 2026 update now calls for slower growth, softer home prices, fewer new builds and continued easing in rental markets right through the end of the year — with a split that leaves Ontario and B.C. looking a lot different from the Prairies and Quebec. Here's what's actually in the update, and what it means for your specific situation. What CMHC changed The agency's baseline call for 2026 is a Canadian economy growing at just 0.7%, with high borrowing costs, weak population growth and cautious buyers keeping a lid on demand even as affordability has technically improved. The practical result, nationally: Housing starts are expected to fall to about 241,400 units this year, down from 259,028 in 2025 Resale acti...
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US Futures Rise After Strong February Jobs Report

 


In a positive turn of events, US stock futures remained steady after the release of the February jobs report. The report revealed that the US economy added 275,000 jobs, surpassing Wall Street expectations once again. However, there was a slight increase in the unemployment rate, ticking up to 3.9%, marking its first rise in four months.

Key Takeaways:

  • Job Growth: The economy demonstrated robust job growth, reflecting resilience despite recent challenges.
  • Federal Reserve Implications: The slowdown in job additions could prompt the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate cuts as a preventive measure against rising unemployment.
  • Investor Sentiment: Investors are closely monitoring the data, anticipating the Fed’s response and its impact on the markets.

Market Outlook:

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100: Futures for these indices edged up shortly after 5 a.m. ET, signaling a positive start to the trading day.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Despite some initial weakness, the Dow was poised to shed about 40 points.
  • London’s FTSE 100: The blue-chip index experienced a 0.4% decline in morning trading.
  • Chipmakers: AI darling Nvidia continued its winning streak, rising 3% in premarket trading in New York.

Investors will closely watch the non-farm payrolls report, which tracks the number of jobs added last month. Economists predict a slowdown from 353,000 to 200,000 jobs, potentially influencing the Fed’s decision on interest rates2. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for more data and a sustained cooling of inflation before any rate adjustments.

As the markets open, all eyes are on the employment data, shaping the trajectory of financial decisions in the coming days. Stay tuned for further updates!


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