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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Day, Fed, Loonie, Tariff Talks and OAS Boost

  Canadian Money Brief 5 Things to Know Today Wednesday, October 28, 2026 It’s a heavy day for Canadian wallets. The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision this morning, the U.S. Fed follows this afternoon, tariff talks are heating up, and bigger OAS deposits land in bank accounts. Here’s what to know. 1 The Bank of Canada decides this morning — a hike is widely expected The decision lands at 9:45 a.m. ET, along with a new Monetary Policy Report. Markets and economists expect a quarter-point increase to 2.50% from 2.25%, which would be the first hike since July 2023. Nineteen of 34 economists in a Reuters poll called for the move, and investors were pricing roughly a 75% chance on Tuesday. The case for it: inflation hit 3.1% in September, driven almost entirely by energy, even as core measures eased below 2%. What it means for you A hike would likely lift prime rates quickly, so variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs feel it first. Roughly, 0.25 points adds about $250 a year per $...

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US Futures Rise After Strong February Jobs Report

 


In a positive turn of events, US stock futures remained steady after the release of the February jobs report. The report revealed that the US economy added 275,000 jobs, surpassing Wall Street expectations once again. However, there was a slight increase in the unemployment rate, ticking up to 3.9%, marking its first rise in four months.

Key Takeaways:

  • Job Growth: The economy demonstrated robust job growth, reflecting resilience despite recent challenges.
  • Federal Reserve Implications: The slowdown in job additions could prompt the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate cuts as a preventive measure against rising unemployment.
  • Investor Sentiment: Investors are closely monitoring the data, anticipating the Fed’s response and its impact on the markets.

Market Outlook:

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100: Futures for these indices edged up shortly after 5 a.m. ET, signaling a positive start to the trading day.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Despite some initial weakness, the Dow was poised to shed about 40 points.
  • London’s FTSE 100: The blue-chip index experienced a 0.4% decline in morning trading.
  • Chipmakers: AI darling Nvidia continued its winning streak, rising 3% in premarket trading in New York.

Investors will closely watch the non-farm payrolls report, which tracks the number of jobs added last month. Economists predict a slowdown from 353,000 to 200,000 jobs, potentially influencing the Fed’s decision on interest rates2. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for more data and a sustained cooling of inflation before any rate adjustments.

As the markets open, all eyes are on the employment data, shaping the trajectory of financial decisions in the coming days. Stay tuned for further updates!


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