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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Will the Rally Continue After a Strong February?

 

As we bid farewell to February, investors are left pondering whether the recent stock market rally will persist into March. The month of February saw impressive gains, but can this momentum be sustained? Let’s delve into the factors and economic conditions that might influence the market’s trajectory.

February concluded on a high note, with major indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), the S&P 500 (^GSPC), and the NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) posting robust gains. But what lies ahead?

Key Considerations

  1. Earnings Results: Corporate earnings reports will play a crucial role. Positive surprises could fuel further optimism, while disappointments may dampen sentiment
  1. Interest Rate Strategy: The Federal Reserve remains a pivotal player. Any hints about interest rate adjustments could sway investor confidence.
  1. Market Themes: Keep an eye on prevailing market themes. Sector rotations, technological advancements, and geopolitical developments all contribute to market dynamics.

Remember, investing is a marathon, not a sprint. While February’s rally was exhilarating, prudent decision-making and a long-term perspective are essential. As we step into March, keep your portfolio diversified and stay informed.



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