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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Will the Rally Continue After a Strong February?

 

As we bid farewell to February, investors are left pondering whether the recent stock market rally will persist into March. The month of February saw impressive gains, but can this momentum be sustained? Let’s delve into the factors and economic conditions that might influence the market’s trajectory.

February concluded on a high note, with major indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), the S&P 500 (^GSPC), and the NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) posting robust gains. But what lies ahead?

Key Considerations

  1. Earnings Results: Corporate earnings reports will play a crucial role. Positive surprises could fuel further optimism, while disappointments may dampen sentiment
  1. Interest Rate Strategy: The Federal Reserve remains a pivotal player. Any hints about interest rate adjustments could sway investor confidence.
  1. Market Themes: Keep an eye on prevailing market themes. Sector rotations, technological advancements, and geopolitical developments all contribute to market dynamics.

Remember, investing is a marathon, not a sprint. While February’s rally was exhilarating, prudent decision-making and a long-term perspective are essential. As we step into March, keep your portfolio diversified and stay informed.



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