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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Stock Market Today: Wall Street Bounces Back in Premarket Trading Following Monday’s Drubbing


In a remarkable turnaround, Wall Street is showing signs of resilience after Monday’s tumultuous session. As corporate earnings reports continue to roll in, investors are catching a break from their concerns about potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Here’s a snapshot of the market dynamics:

  • Asian Shares React: Asian shares mirrored the slump on Wall Street, with the Shanghai Composite index declining by 1.7% to 3,007.07. Despite this, the Chinese government’s surprising report of a 5.3% annual growth rate in the first quarter of the year failed to buoy investor sentiment.

  • Yields and Pressure: The recent surge in U.S. bond yields has cranked up pressure on stocks. However, premarket trading indicates a bounce-back for Wall Street, offering hope to investors who weathered Monday’s drubbing.

As the market navigates these fluctuations, keep an eye on corporate earnings releases and the Fed’s policy signals. The road ahead remains uncertain, but today’s rebound provides a glimmer of optimism for traders and investors alike. Stay tuned for further developments.


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