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Lock In or Stay Variable? What Every Canadian Homeowner Must Decide Before April 29

   Bank of Canada headquarters, Ottawa. Overnight rate held at 2.25% since October 2025. Next decision: April 29, 2026.  The Bank of Canada has held its rate at 2.25% for three straight decisions — but with inflation creeping back up, a Middle East conflict pushing oil prices, and over one million mortgage renewals on the horizon, the stakes of getting this wrong have never been higher. The Canadian Money Brief April 25, 2026 6 min read THE CANADIAN MONEY BRIEF BANK OF CANADA 2.25% 2.25% POLICY RATE HELD SINCE OCT. 2025 · THIRD CONSECUTIVE HOLD NEXT DECISION: APR. 29, 2026 If your mortgage is coming up for renewal in the next six to eighteen months, the question keeping you up at night is probably this: do I lock in a fixed rate now — or do I ride out a variable rate and hope the Bank of Canada does something helpful? It's the right question to be asking. And right now, the answer is more complicated — and more consequential — than it has been in years. The Bank of Canada...
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Bank of Canada Poised for Another Rate Cut Amid Easing Inflation

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to cut its key interest rate again this Wednesday, following recent data indicating a continued easing of inflation. This anticipated move comes after the central bank already reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% last month.

Economists and market analysts are betting on another 25 basis point cut, which would bring the rate down to 4.50%2. The decision is driven by a combination of factors, including a slowdown in consumer price inflation, restrained spending, and a generally lackluster economic outlook.

Recent reports show that inflation cooled to 2.7% in June, down from 2.9% in May. This decline has bolstered confidence that the Bank of Canada will continue its efforts to ease monetary policy. Additionally, rising unemployment and subdued growth expectations have further supported the case for another rate cut.

The Bank of Canada is set to announce its decision on Wednesday at 9:45 AM ET, along with the release of its quarterly Monetary Policy Report, which will include updated forecasts for economic growth and inflation.


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