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Canada's Inflation Jumps to 2.4% in March — And Your Grocery and Gas Bills Show It

Canada's annual inflation rate climbed to 2.4% in March 2026 , up sharply from 1.8% in February, according to Statistics Canada data released Monday. The jump was driven almost entirely by soaring energy prices tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict and its disruption of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz — and Canadians felt it directly at the gas pump and grocery store. Headline CPI (March) 2.4% ▲ Up from 1.8% in February Gasoline (monthly) +21.2% Largest monthly jump on record Grocery prices (year/year) +4.4% Up from 4.1% in February Core CPI (ex-gas) 2.2% Milder than expected Gas was the main culprit Gasoline prices surged a record 21.2% month over month in March — the largest single-month jump ever recorded in Canada — as the U.S.-Iran conflict choked off roughly one-fifth of the world's oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz. On a year-...
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Bank of Canada Poised for Another Rate Cut Amid Easing Inflation

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to cut its key interest rate again this Wednesday, following recent data indicating a continued easing of inflation. This anticipated move comes after the central bank already reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% last month.

Economists and market analysts are betting on another 25 basis point cut, which would bring the rate down to 4.50%2. The decision is driven by a combination of factors, including a slowdown in consumer price inflation, restrained spending, and a generally lackluster economic outlook.

Recent reports show that inflation cooled to 2.7% in June, down from 2.9% in May. This decline has bolstered confidence that the Bank of Canada will continue its efforts to ease monetary policy. Additionally, rising unemployment and subdued growth expectations have further supported the case for another rate cut.

The Bank of Canada is set to announce its decision on Wednesday at 9:45 AM ET, along with the release of its quarterly Monetary Policy Report, which will include updated forecasts for economic growth and inflation.


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