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Canada’s Inflation Cools to 2.2% in October Amid Cheaper Gas and Groceries

  Motorists fuel up at an ONroute gas station near Maple, Ont., on April 1, 2025. Lower gas prices helped bring overall inflation down in October, Statistics Canada says. Canada’s annual inflation rate eased to 2.2% in October , down from 2.4% in September. The slowdown was largely driven by falling gasoline and grocery prices, offering some relief to consumers after months of persistent cost pressures. Key Drivers of the Decline Gasoline prices dropped 4.8% month-over-month , as retailers switched to cheaper winter fuel blends and global crude oil prices fell due to oversupply concerns. Grocery prices fell 0.6% in October , marking the largest monthly decline since September 2020. Annual grocery inflation cooled to 3.4% , down from 4% in September, with lower costs for processed foods and fresh vegetables offsetting higher prices for chicken. Excluding gasoline, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.6% year-over-year , showing that underlying inflationary pressures remain....

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Bank of Canada Poised for Another Rate Cut Amid Easing Inflation

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to cut its key interest rate again this Wednesday, following recent data indicating a continued easing of inflation. This anticipated move comes after the central bank already reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% last month.

Economists and market analysts are betting on another 25 basis point cut, which would bring the rate down to 4.50%2. The decision is driven by a combination of factors, including a slowdown in consumer price inflation, restrained spending, and a generally lackluster economic outlook.

Recent reports show that inflation cooled to 2.7% in June, down from 2.9% in May. This decline has bolstered confidence that the Bank of Canada will continue its efforts to ease monetary policy. Additionally, rising unemployment and subdued growth expectations have further supported the case for another rate cut.

The Bank of Canada is set to announce its decision on Wednesday at 9:45 AM ET, along with the release of its quarterly Monetary Policy Report, which will include updated forecasts for economic growth and inflation.


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