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Ottawa's Parliament Hill, where the Carney government is rolling out Canada's largest fiscal stimulus package since 1980. / Photo: Unsplash. MoneySavings.ca  ·  Economy & Policy Monday, April 13, 2026  ·  Daily Edition Canada at a crossroads: oil shock, frozen rates, and a trade deal on the clock Canada's economy is navigating a uniquely complicated moment in 2026. A Middle East conflict has sent oil prices surging past US$104 a barrel, a once-in-a-generation fiscal stimulus package is being rolled out in Ottawa, and the clock is ticking on a renegotiation of Canada's most important trade agreement. For everyday Canadians, this means uncertainty at the gas pump, a central bank with limited room to cut rates, and a federal government betting big on public spending to kick-start growth. Here is what you need to know about the forces shaping the Canadian economy right now. 1. The Bank of Canada is stuck — and oil is why The Bank of Canada has held it...
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Bank of Canada Poised for Another Rate Cut Amid Easing Inflation

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to cut its key interest rate again this Wednesday, following recent data indicating a continued easing of inflation. This anticipated move comes after the central bank already reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% last month.

Economists and market analysts are betting on another 25 basis point cut, which would bring the rate down to 4.50%2. The decision is driven by a combination of factors, including a slowdown in consumer price inflation, restrained spending, and a generally lackluster economic outlook.

Recent reports show that inflation cooled to 2.7% in June, down from 2.9% in May. This decline has bolstered confidence that the Bank of Canada will continue its efforts to ease monetary policy. Additionally, rising unemployment and subdued growth expectations have further supported the case for another rate cut.

The Bank of Canada is set to announce its decision on Wednesday at 9:45 AM ET, along with the release of its quarterly Monetary Policy Report, which will include updated forecasts for economic growth and inflation.


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