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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Erdogan’s Bold Threat: Turkey’s Potential Military Intervention in Israel

 

In a recent and highly provocative statement, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has suggested that Turkey might intervene militarily in Israel to support the Palestinians. This declaration was made during a party meeting in Rize, where Erdogan drew parallels to Turkey’s past interventions in Nagorno-Karabakh and Libya.

Erdogan emphasized the need for Turkey to be strong to prevent Israel from continuing its actions against the Palestinians. He stated, "Just as we entered [Nagorno-]Karabakh, just as we entered Libya, we might do the same to them. There is nothing we can’t do. We must only be strong.

This rhetoric has sparked significant concern and backlash. Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz compared Erdogan to the late Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein, highlighting the potential for severe geopolitical repercussions. The Turkish leader’s comments come amid ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, further escalating tensions in the region.

Erdogan’s statements have been met with mixed reactions globally, with many fearing the implications of such a move by a NATO member. The international community watches closely as the situation develops, hoping for a peaceful resolution to the escalating conflict.


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