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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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FBI Investigates Assassination Attempt at Trump Rally

                                         

The FBI is actively investigating the shooting at a Saturday night rally for former President Donald Trump as an assassination attempt. The suspect involved has been identified as 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks from Bethel Park, Pennsylvania. 

The attack occurred during the rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, leaving one attendee dead and critically injuring two others. Trump himself reported being “shot with a bullet that pierced the upper part of my right ear,” and photos and videos showed Secret Service agents swiftly whisking him away, his face bloodied and fist raised. The suspected shooter, who was killed, used an AR-15-style semiautomatic rifle for the attack. 

After being evaluated at a medical facility in Pennsylvania, Trump flew to New Jersey, where he was seen exiting a plane at Newark Liberty International Airport around midnight. 

President Biden condemned the violence, stating, "It cannot be like this. We cannot condone this". The investigation remains ongoing, and authorities have not yet disclosed a motive for the attack.

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