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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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FBI Investigates Assassination Attempt at Trump Rally

                                         

The FBI is actively investigating the shooting at a Saturday night rally for former President Donald Trump as an assassination attempt. The suspect involved has been identified as 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks from Bethel Park, Pennsylvania. 

The attack occurred during the rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, leaving one attendee dead and critically injuring two others. Trump himself reported being “shot with a bullet that pierced the upper part of my right ear,” and photos and videos showed Secret Service agents swiftly whisking him away, his face bloodied and fist raised. The suspected shooter, who was killed, used an AR-15-style semiautomatic rifle for the attack. 

After being evaluated at a medical facility in Pennsylvania, Trump flew to New Jersey, where he was seen exiting a plane at Newark Liberty International Airport around midnight. 

President Biden condemned the violence, stating, "It cannot be like this. We cannot condone this". The investigation remains ongoing, and authorities have not yet disclosed a motive for the attack.

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