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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Israel Orders Evacuation of Gaza Humanitarian Zone Amid Ongoing Conflict

 

The Israeli military has ordered the evacuation of part of the Gaza Strip’s humanitarian zone, citing the presence of Hamas militants who have embedded themselves in the area. This zone, located in the southern Gaza Strip, has been a refuge for many Palestinians displaced by the ongoing conflict.

The evacuation order affects the eastern part of the al-Muwasi humanitarian zone. The Israeli military stated that Hamas militants have been using this area to launch rockets towards Israel, necessitating the evacuation to ensure civilian safety and to target the militants more effectively.

The humanitarian situation in Gaza remains dire, with many residents living in makeshift camps lacking basic sanitation and medical facilities. The conflict has resulted in significant casualties and displacement, with over 38,900 people reported dead since the war began.

Negotiations for a cease-fire continue, with efforts from Egypt, Qatar, and the United States to mediate a phased agreement between Israel and Hamas. Despite these efforts, the humanitarian crisis in Gaza persists, exacerbated by the ongoing military operations and the deteriorating living conditions for its residents.

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