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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Israeli Airstrike Eliminates Senior Hezbollah Commander in Southern Lebanon

 

In a significant escalation of hostilities, an Israeli airstrike has killed a high-ranking commander in Hezbollah’s elite Radwan forces, according to security sources. The commander, identified as Habib Maatouk, was targeted in southern Lebanon on Thursday.

Maatouk had recently assumed his position following the death of his predecessor, Ali Ahmed Hassin, who was also killed in an Israeli strike earlier this year. The latest attack is part of ongoing tit-for-tat violence between Israel and Hezbollah, which has intensified since October 2023 when Hezbollah declared a “support front” with Palestinians following a major Hamas attack on southern Israel.

The airstrike hit the border villages of Safad El Batikh and Jmaijmeh, resulting in multiple casualties. Eighteen wounded individuals were taken to Tebnin government hospital, with two reported in critical condition. The conflict has led to significant destruction in Lebanese border towns, reminiscent of the 2006 Israel-Lebanon war.

This incident underscores the fragile and volatile nature of the region, with both sides continuing to engage in aggressive military actions. The international community remains concerned about the potential for further escalation and the humanitarian impact on civilians caught in the crossfire.


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