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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Israeli Airstrike in Southern Gaza Leaves 71 Dead

 

In a devastating attack on the southern Gaza Strip, at least 71 people lost their lives, according to the Gaza Health Ministry. The strike, which occurred in the Khan Younis area, also left 289 others injured. Many of the injured and deceased were taken to the nearby Nasser Hospital.

The Israeli official identified the target of the strike as Mohammed Deif, believed to be the chief architect of an earlier attack that killed around 1,200 people in southern Israel. Deif has long been on Israel’s most-wanted list and has reportedly escaped multiple assassination attempts in the past. Rafa Salama, another top Hamas official, was also targeted in the strike, though details on their fate remain unclear.

This tragic incident adds tension to ongoing talks between U.S., Egyptian, and Qatari mediators, who are working to narrow gaps between Israel and Hamas regarding a proposed three-phase cease-fire and hostage release plan in Gaza. The potential killing or injury of any senior Hamas official threatens to derail these delicate negotiations. 

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