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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Israeli Airstrike in Southern Gaza Leaves 71 Dead

 

In a devastating attack on the southern Gaza Strip, at least 71 people lost their lives, according to the Gaza Health Ministry. The strike, which occurred in the Khan Younis area, also left 289 others injured. Many of the injured and deceased were taken to the nearby Nasser Hospital.

The Israeli official identified the target of the strike as Mohammed Deif, believed to be the chief architect of an earlier attack that killed around 1,200 people in southern Israel. Deif has long been on Israel’s most-wanted list and has reportedly escaped multiple assassination attempts in the past. Rafa Salama, another top Hamas official, was also targeted in the strike, though details on their fate remain unclear.

This tragic incident adds tension to ongoing talks between U.S., Egyptian, and Qatari mediators, who are working to narrow gaps between Israel and Hamas regarding a proposed three-phase cease-fire and hostage release plan in Gaza. The potential killing or injury of any senior Hamas official threatens to derail these delicate negotiations. 

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