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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Israeli Airstrike in Southern Gaza Leaves 71 Dead

 

In a devastating attack on the southern Gaza Strip, at least 71 people lost their lives, according to the Gaza Health Ministry. The strike, which occurred in the Khan Younis area, also left 289 others injured. Many of the injured and deceased were taken to the nearby Nasser Hospital.

The Israeli official identified the target of the strike as Mohammed Deif, believed to be the chief architect of an earlier attack that killed around 1,200 people in southern Israel. Deif has long been on Israel’s most-wanted list and has reportedly escaped multiple assassination attempts in the past. Rafa Salama, another top Hamas official, was also targeted in the strike, though details on their fate remain unclear.

This tragic incident adds tension to ongoing talks between U.S., Egyptian, and Qatari mediators, who are working to narrow gaps between Israel and Hamas regarding a proposed three-phase cease-fire and hostage release plan in Gaza. The potential killing or injury of any senior Hamas official threatens to derail these delicate negotiations. 

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