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Premiers Split on Using Potash as a Trade Weapon — What It Means for Your Grocery Bill

  Published August 31, 2026 Canada's premiers can't agree on how far to take the trade war with the United States — and this week, the fight is over a grey mineral mined almost 2,000 kilometres from Ottawa: potash. The disagreement matters well beyond provincial politics. Potash is the "P" and "K" of fertilizer economics — a key ingredient in the blends that grow the wheat, canola, and corn that eventually show up as bread, canola oil, and everything fed to livestock. Canada supplies about 85% of the potash the U.S. uses, which is exactly why some premiers see it as leverage — and why others are warning that pulling that lever could backfire on the very provinces pushing for it. Ford wants to pull the lever. Moe and Smith are warning not to. Ontario Premier Doug Ford is pushing for the toughest response available, including resource-based leverage. Saskatchewan's Scott Moe and Alberta's Danielle Smith are pumping the brakes, warning that squeezing po...

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US Futures Rise as Dow Eyes Fresh Record Amid Bets on Trump

 

US stock futures climbed on Monday as investors weighed the market impact of a shooting attack on presidential candidate Donald Trump. The incident overshadowed the return of earnings season, but optimism remained high.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) rose 0.5%: The blue-chip gauge ended last week just a few points away from an all-time high.
  • S&P 500 (ES=F) added 0.4%: Stocks poised to build on Friday’s gains as JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo ushered in earnings season.
  • Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) gained 0.5%: Tech-heavy stocks also contributed to the rally.

Investors focused on the potential fallout from the assassination attempt on Trump at a rally on Saturday. Bets ramped up on a win in November’s presidential election for the Republican front-runner, seen as likely to cut taxes, raise trade tariffs, and ease up on regulation.

Other notable points:

  • 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) rose over 2 basis points to trade around 4.21%.
  • 30-year yield (^TYX) also gained, steepening the yield curve.
  • Dollar (DX=F) edged up, and bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged to a two-week high above $62,830 amid speculation around former President Trump.
  • Trump Media & Technology (DJT) stock soared over 50% in pre-market trading.

In corporate news:

  • Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) is reportedly in talks for a $23 billion deal to buy cybersecurity start-up Wiz.

Later today, investors will closely listen to Jerome Powell’s comments for hints on the Federal Reserve chair’s view of the latest data.


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