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Trump Signals Iran War Deal ‘Soon’ as Strait of Hormuz Stays Open, Easing Market Fears

                                   U.S. President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war could come “soon,”   President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war could come “soon,” a comment that helped calm global markets as the vital Strait of Hormuz remains open to commercial shipping. The waterway, which handles roughly one‑fifth of the world’s oil supply, has been a central concern for investors since the conflict began. With tankers continuing to move through the strait, oil prices have stabilized after weeks of volatility. Analysts note that even the perception of reduced risk in the region can ease pressure on global inflation, particularly in energy‑dependent economies like Canada. For Canadian households, a more stable oil market could help limit further increases in gasoline, transportation, and food costs. Equity markets reacted cautiously but positively,...
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US Futures Rise as Dow Eyes Fresh Record Amid Bets on Trump

 

US stock futures climbed on Monday as investors weighed the market impact of a shooting attack on presidential candidate Donald Trump. The incident overshadowed the return of earnings season, but optimism remained high.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) rose 0.5%: The blue-chip gauge ended last week just a few points away from an all-time high.
  • S&P 500 (ES=F) added 0.4%: Stocks poised to build on Friday’s gains as JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo ushered in earnings season.
  • Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) gained 0.5%: Tech-heavy stocks also contributed to the rally.

Investors focused on the potential fallout from the assassination attempt on Trump at a rally on Saturday. Bets ramped up on a win in November’s presidential election for the Republican front-runner, seen as likely to cut taxes, raise trade tariffs, and ease up on regulation.

Other notable points:

  • 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) rose over 2 basis points to trade around 4.21%.
  • 30-year yield (^TYX) also gained, steepening the yield curve.
  • Dollar (DX=F) edged up, and bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged to a two-week high above $62,830 amid speculation around former President Trump.
  • Trump Media & Technology (DJT) stock soared over 50% in pre-market trading.

In corporate news:

  • Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) is reportedly in talks for a $23 billion deal to buy cybersecurity start-up Wiz.

Later today, investors will closely listen to Jerome Powell’s comments for hints on the Federal Reserve chair’s view of the latest data.


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