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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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US Futures Rise as Dow Eyes Fresh Record Amid Bets on Trump

 

US stock futures climbed on Monday as investors weighed the market impact of a shooting attack on presidential candidate Donald Trump. The incident overshadowed the return of earnings season, but optimism remained high.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) rose 0.5%: The blue-chip gauge ended last week just a few points away from an all-time high.
  • S&P 500 (ES=F) added 0.4%: Stocks poised to build on Friday’s gains as JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo ushered in earnings season.
  • Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) gained 0.5%: Tech-heavy stocks also contributed to the rally.

Investors focused on the potential fallout from the assassination attempt on Trump at a rally on Saturday. Bets ramped up on a win in November’s presidential election for the Republican front-runner, seen as likely to cut taxes, raise trade tariffs, and ease up on regulation.

Other notable points:

  • 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) rose over 2 basis points to trade around 4.21%.
  • 30-year yield (^TYX) also gained, steepening the yield curve.
  • Dollar (DX=F) edged up, and bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged to a two-week high above $62,830 amid speculation around former President Trump.
  • Trump Media & Technology (DJT) stock soared over 50% in pre-market trading.

In corporate news:

  • Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) is reportedly in talks for a $23 billion deal to buy cybersecurity start-up Wiz.

Later today, investors will closely listen to Jerome Powell’s comments for hints on the Federal Reserve chair’s view of the latest data.


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