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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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US Futures Rise as Dow Eyes Fresh Record Amid Bets on Trump

 

US stock futures climbed on Monday as investors weighed the market impact of a shooting attack on presidential candidate Donald Trump. The incident overshadowed the return of earnings season, but optimism remained high.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) rose 0.5%: The blue-chip gauge ended last week just a few points away from an all-time high.
  • S&P 500 (ES=F) added 0.4%: Stocks poised to build on Friday’s gains as JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo ushered in earnings season.
  • Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) gained 0.5%: Tech-heavy stocks also contributed to the rally.

Investors focused on the potential fallout from the assassination attempt on Trump at a rally on Saturday. Bets ramped up on a win in November’s presidential election for the Republican front-runner, seen as likely to cut taxes, raise trade tariffs, and ease up on regulation.

Other notable points:

  • 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) rose over 2 basis points to trade around 4.21%.
  • 30-year yield (^TYX) also gained, steepening the yield curve.
  • Dollar (DX=F) edged up, and bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged to a two-week high above $62,830 amid speculation around former President Trump.
  • Trump Media & Technology (DJT) stock soared over 50% in pre-market trading.

In corporate news:

  • Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) is reportedly in talks for a $23 billion deal to buy cybersecurity start-up Wiz.

Later today, investors will closely listen to Jerome Powell’s comments for hints on the Federal Reserve chair’s view of the latest data.


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