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Wall St Futures Slip as Geopolitical Uncertainty and Mixed Earnings Weigh on Sentiment

Wall Street futures slipped early Thursday as investors grew cautious in the absence of clear signals on the U.S.–Iran war, while a wave of mixed earnings added to the uncertainty. Iran’s seizure of two ships in the Strait of Hormuz and its demand that the U.S. lift its naval blockade have heightened geopolitical tensions, even after President Donald Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely. The standoff continues to keep oil prices above $100 per barrel , raising concerns about a potential inflation flare‑up.  Economists warn that even if the conflict eases, the global economy may take time to normalize after one of the largest oil supply disruptions in decades.  As of early morning trading, Dow E‑minis were down 0.73%, S&P 500 E‑minis slipped 0.50%, and Nasdaq 100 E‑minis fell 0.48% , reflecting a broader pullback in risk appetite.  Earnings added another layer of volatility. Tesla shares fell after the company boosted its annual spending plan to more than $25...

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US Futures Tread Water After S&P 500’s Record Close

                                        

US stock futures held steady on Wednesday following a record close for the S&P 500. Investors are closely watching fresh economic data and Federal Reserve minutes for hints on potential rate cuts in this holiday-shortened session.

  • S&P 500 Futures (ES=F) traded flat after the benchmark index ended Tuesday above 5,500 for the first time.
  • Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) remained little changed.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures (YM=F) edged up 0.1%.

The stock market is preparing for an early close (1 p.m. ET) on Wednesday ahead of the Independence Day holiday. Jerome Powell’s remarks on cooling inflation have fueled hopes for an interest-rate cut, even as he signaled no immediate urgency to act. Traders are currently pricing in 65% odds of a rate decrease in September, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.

Eyes are now on updates regarding private payrolls and jobless claims, providing insight into the labor market before the key June jobs report release on Friday. Additionally, data on services activity and factory orders will be closely watched for signs of further economic slowing that could prompt policy adjustments.

In corporate news:

  • Paramount Global (PARA) shares climbed over 12% due to reports that Skydance Media has acquired a controlling stake in the entertainment giant.
  • Tesla (TSLA) shares rose almost 3% in pre-market trading following a 10% surge on Tuesday after the EV maker exceeded Wall Street delivery estimates.

Investors are bracing for the July 4th closure, keeping a keen eye on economic data as they assess the path forward. 


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