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Tariff Ultimatum on Iran Trade Sparks Global Tension

                                                Doing Business With Iran? Trump Says Pay a 25% US Tariff. A new 25% tariff threat from President Donald Trump has sent a jolt through international markets, after he declared that any nation continuing to trade with Iran would face steep U.S. penalties. The announcement, delivered abruptly through social media, signaled a sharp escalation in Washington’s effort to isolate Tehran economically. The move comes amid heightened criticism of Iran’s internal crackdown on dissent, which U.S. officials argue warrants stronger international pressure. By targeting not just Iran but its trading partners, the administration aims to force countries—including major global players—to reconsider their economic ties with Tehran. The threat immediately stirred uncertainty across global markets. Oil prices climbed...
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US Futures Tread Water After S&P 500’s Record Close

                                        

US stock futures held steady on Wednesday following a record close for the S&P 500. Investors are closely watching fresh economic data and Federal Reserve minutes for hints on potential rate cuts in this holiday-shortened session.

  • S&P 500 Futures (ES=F) traded flat after the benchmark index ended Tuesday above 5,500 for the first time.
  • Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) remained little changed.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures (YM=F) edged up 0.1%.

The stock market is preparing for an early close (1 p.m. ET) on Wednesday ahead of the Independence Day holiday. Jerome Powell’s remarks on cooling inflation have fueled hopes for an interest-rate cut, even as he signaled no immediate urgency to act. Traders are currently pricing in 65% odds of a rate decrease in September, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.

Eyes are now on updates regarding private payrolls and jobless claims, providing insight into the labor market before the key June jobs report release on Friday. Additionally, data on services activity and factory orders will be closely watched for signs of further economic slowing that could prompt policy adjustments.

In corporate news:

  • Paramount Global (PARA) shares climbed over 12% due to reports that Skydance Media has acquired a controlling stake in the entertainment giant.
  • Tesla (TSLA) shares rose almost 3% in pre-market trading following a 10% surge on Tuesday after the EV maker exceeded Wall Street delivery estimates.

Investors are bracing for the July 4th closure, keeping a keen eye on economic data as they assess the path forward. 


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