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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Hamas Sticks to Demand for Gaza Truce Deal Implementation

 

 Amid ongoing conflict, Hamas remains steadfast in its position regarding Gaza truce talks. The Palestinian militant group insists that negotiations should focus on a deal already discussed with Israel and mediators, rather than starting anew. Israeli airstrikes, which recently claimed the lives of at least 19 Palestinians in the enclave, have intensified the urgency for a resolution.

The United States expressed optimism that peace talks scheduled for Thursday would proceed as planned, emphasizing the possibility of a ceasefire agreement. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken is set to engage in discussions in Qatar, Egypt, and Israel. While the Israeli government confirmed its delegation’s participation, Hamas seeks a workable plan to implement a proposal it has already accepted, rather than engaging in further talks.

In the densely populated Deir Al-Balah, where many are desperate for a truce, Israeli airstrikes continue to exact a heavy toll. The conflict, now spanning 10 months, has resulted in nearly 40,000 Palestinian deaths, including commanders and fighters. A potential ceasefire deal aims to end hostilities in Gaza and secure the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas in exchange for Palestinian prisoners in Israeli custody.

However, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu maintains that the war can only end when Hamas is eradicated. As the situation remains tense, the international community watches closely, urging a swift resolution to prevent further loss of life.


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