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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Hamas Sticks to Demand for Gaza Truce Deal Implementation

 

 Amid ongoing conflict, Hamas remains steadfast in its position regarding Gaza truce talks. The Palestinian militant group insists that negotiations should focus on a deal already discussed with Israel and mediators, rather than starting anew. Israeli airstrikes, which recently claimed the lives of at least 19 Palestinians in the enclave, have intensified the urgency for a resolution.

The United States expressed optimism that peace talks scheduled for Thursday would proceed as planned, emphasizing the possibility of a ceasefire agreement. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken is set to engage in discussions in Qatar, Egypt, and Israel. While the Israeli government confirmed its delegation’s participation, Hamas seeks a workable plan to implement a proposal it has already accepted, rather than engaging in further talks.

In the densely populated Deir Al-Balah, where many are desperate for a truce, Israeli airstrikes continue to exact a heavy toll. The conflict, now spanning 10 months, has resulted in nearly 40,000 Palestinian deaths, including commanders and fighters. A potential ceasefire deal aims to end hostilities in Gaza and secure the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas in exchange for Palestinian prisoners in Israeli custody.

However, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu maintains that the war can only end when Hamas is eradicated. As the situation remains tense, the international community watches closely, urging a swift resolution to prevent further loss of life.


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