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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Stock Futures Steady as Investors Await Fresh Jobs Data

U.S. stock futures were little changed on Thursday as Wall Street attempted to recover from recent declines. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were flat, while Nasdaq futures rose slightly. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell marginally.

Labor Market Update: Today’s spotlight is on the release of the report on initial weekly jobless claims. A positive number could reassure traders about the state of the jobs market, while a negative one may introduce more turbulence. Last week’s sluggish non-farm payrolls update was one of the catalysts for recent declines.

Individual Movers:

  • Nvidia (NVDA): The AI giant’s stock is in focus after a back-and-forth day left it down another 5%.
  • Eli Lilly (LLY): The company’s stock soared over 10% in premarket trading after boosting its annual revenue and profit forecasts on strong weight-loss drug sales.


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