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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Stock Futures Steady as Investors Await Fresh Jobs Data

U.S. stock futures were little changed on Thursday as Wall Street attempted to recover from recent declines. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were flat, while Nasdaq futures rose slightly. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell marginally.

Labor Market Update: Today’s spotlight is on the release of the report on initial weekly jobless claims. A positive number could reassure traders about the state of the jobs market, while a negative one may introduce more turbulence. Last week’s sluggish non-farm payrolls update was one of the catalysts for recent declines.

Individual Movers:

  • Nvidia (NVDA): The AI giant’s stock is in focus after a back-and-forth day left it down another 5%.
  • Eli Lilly (LLY): The company’s stock soared over 10% in premarket trading after boosting its annual revenue and profit forecasts on strong weight-loss drug sales.


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