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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Stock Futures Steady as Investors Await Fresh Jobs Data

U.S. stock futures were little changed on Thursday as Wall Street attempted to recover from recent declines. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were flat, while Nasdaq futures rose slightly. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell marginally.

Labor Market Update: Today’s spotlight is on the release of the report on initial weekly jobless claims. A positive number could reassure traders about the state of the jobs market, while a negative one may introduce more turbulence. Last week’s sluggish non-farm payrolls update was one of the catalysts for recent declines.

Individual Movers:

  • Nvidia (NVDA): The AI giant’s stock is in focus after a back-and-forth day left it down another 5%.
  • Eli Lilly (LLY): The company’s stock soared over 10% in premarket trading after boosting its annual revenue and profit forecasts on strong weight-loss drug sales.


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