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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Escalation in the Middle East: Hezbollah and Israel Exchange Fire

In a significant escalation of violence, Hezbollah launched dozens of rockets into northern Israel, resulting in multiple casualties and widespread damage. The Israeli military reported that the rockets, along with several drones, targeted various locations, including a drone aimed at Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s holiday home. This attack led to the death of one person and injuries to several others.

In response, Israel intensified its airstrikes on Gaza, targeting key infrastructure and militant positions. The strikes have resulted in numerous casualties, including civilians, and have further strained the already tense situation in the region. The conflict has seen a significant increase in hostilities, with both sides suffering losses and the civilian population bearing the brunt of the violence.

The international community has called for restraint and a ceasefire to prevent further escalation and to protect civilian lives. However, with both sides entrenched in their positions, a peaceful resolution seems elusive at this time.


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