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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Escalation in the Middle East: Hezbollah and Israel Exchange Fire

In a significant escalation of violence, Hezbollah launched dozens of rockets into northern Israel, resulting in multiple casualties and widespread damage. The Israeli military reported that the rockets, along with several drones, targeted various locations, including a drone aimed at Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s holiday home. This attack led to the death of one person and injuries to several others.

In response, Israel intensified its airstrikes on Gaza, targeting key infrastructure and militant positions. The strikes have resulted in numerous casualties, including civilians, and have further strained the already tense situation in the region. The conflict has seen a significant increase in hostilities, with both sides suffering losses and the civilian population bearing the brunt of the violence.

The international community has called for restraint and a ceasefire to prevent further escalation and to protect civilian lives. However, with both sides entrenched in their positions, a peaceful resolution seems elusive at this time.


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