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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Escalation in the Middle East: Hezbollah and Israel Exchange Fire

In a significant escalation of violence, Hezbollah launched dozens of rockets into northern Israel, resulting in multiple casualties and widespread damage. The Israeli military reported that the rockets, along with several drones, targeted various locations, including a drone aimed at Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s holiday home. This attack led to the death of one person and injuries to several others.

In response, Israel intensified its airstrikes on Gaza, targeting key infrastructure and militant positions. The strikes have resulted in numerous casualties, including civilians, and have further strained the already tense situation in the region. The conflict has seen a significant increase in hostilities, with both sides suffering losses and the civilian population bearing the brunt of the violence.

The international community has called for restraint and a ceasefire to prevent further escalation and to protect civilian lives. However, with both sides entrenched in their positions, a peaceful resolution seems elusive at this time.


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