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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Market Gains Amid Anticipation of Key Data and Big Tech Earnings

 

U.S. stock markets saw gains today as investors eagerly await crucial economic data and earnings reports from major technology companies. The Nasdaq Composite rose by approximately 0.7%, while the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average each increased by about 0.5%.

The market’s positive movement was partly driven by relief over geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Israel’s limited retaliatory strikes on Iran focusing solely on military targets. This development led to a significant drop in oil prices, with Brent crude falling nearly 6% to around $71 a barrel.

Investors are particularly focused on the upcoming earnings reports from five of the “Magnificent Seven” tech giants: Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta. These reports are expected to provide insights into whether investments in artificial intelligence are translating into profits. Additionally, the market is bracing for key economic indicators, including the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and the October jobs report, which could influence future interest rate decisions.

Overall, the anticipation of Big Tech earnings and critical economic data has set the stage for a potentially volatile week in the stock market.


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