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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Canada Adds Fewer Jobs Than Expected in October; Unemployment Rate Holds Steady

 

Canada’s job market showed signs of slowing down in October, as the country added fewer jobs than anticipated. According to Statistics Canada, the national unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.5%.

The economy saw a modest increase of 15,000 jobs last month, falling short of economists’ expectations. This modest gain reflects ongoing challenges in the labor market, influenced by high interest rates and economic uncertainties.

Despite the job additions, the unemployment rate held steady, indicating that the labor market is still grappling with balancing job creation and economic pressures. The Bank of Canada has been closely monitoring these trends, especially as it aims to foster economic growth following recent interest rate cuts.

As the country navigates these economic conditions, the focus remains on creating sustainable employment opportunities and supporting workforce stability.


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