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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Canada Adds Fewer Jobs Than Expected in October; Unemployment Rate Holds Steady

 

Canada’s job market showed signs of slowing down in October, as the country added fewer jobs than anticipated. According to Statistics Canada, the national unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.5%.

The economy saw a modest increase of 15,000 jobs last month, falling short of economists’ expectations. This modest gain reflects ongoing challenges in the labor market, influenced by high interest rates and economic uncertainties.

Despite the job additions, the unemployment rate held steady, indicating that the labor market is still grappling with balancing job creation and economic pressures. The Bank of Canada has been closely monitoring these trends, especially as it aims to foster economic growth following recent interest rate cuts.

As the country navigates these economic conditions, the focus remains on creating sustainable employment opportunities and supporting workforce stability.


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