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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Canada Adds Fewer Jobs Than Expected in October; Unemployment Rate Holds Steady

 

Canada’s job market showed signs of slowing down in October, as the country added fewer jobs than anticipated. According to Statistics Canada, the national unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.5%.

The economy saw a modest increase of 15,000 jobs last month, falling short of economists’ expectations. This modest gain reflects ongoing challenges in the labor market, influenced by high interest rates and economic uncertainties.

Despite the job additions, the unemployment rate held steady, indicating that the labor market is still grappling with balancing job creation and economic pressures. The Bank of Canada has been closely monitoring these trends, especially as it aims to foster economic growth following recent interest rate cuts.

As the country navigates these economic conditions, the focus remains on creating sustainable employment opportunities and supporting workforce stability.


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